The Flip Side… |
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✱ Record earnings. ✱ Then Michael Burry disclosed a short position. ✱ Two days later, the stock fell 15%.
Earlier this week, we covered Micron's record quarter: → $41.46 billion in revenue, → 346% year-over-year growth, and → a forward P/E of just 7.4x.
It was one of the strongest earnings reports we've seen from a major semiconductor company this year. |
Around the same time, Michael Burry disclosed that he had taken the opposite side of the trade, calling Micron a company that "defines cyclical like no other." |
The market quickly reacted. |
Micron fell roughly 15% over the next two trading sessions.
Here's what happened—and why the debate over Micron is only getting started. ⇩ |
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What Burry Actually Shorted… |
✱ Burry's biggest bearish bets all struggled after his positions became public—but not necessarily because of him. Most were already under pressure as investors questioned whether AI spending and semiconductor valuations had become too optimistic. |
→ Applied Materials: -17%▼ — The largest decline among Burry's disclosed shorts, reflecting broad weakness in chip equipment stocks. |
→ SK Hynix: -15%▼ — The AI memory leader sold off sharply in Seoul, extending the semiconductor weakness beyond U.S. markets. |
→ Micron: -15%▼ — The stock at the center of Burry's thesis, reinforcing his long-held view that memory remains one of the market's most cyclical businesses. |
→ SOXX ETF: -12%▼ — The selloff wasn't isolated. The broader semiconductor ETF, which includes Nvidia, Micron, Broadcom, AMD, and other major chip companies, also declined. |
→ Samsung Electronics: -9%▼ — Another major memory producer that joined the broader sector pullback. |
→ Tesla: -6%▼— One of Burry's other high-profile shorts also moved lower, though for reasons largely unrelated to semiconductors. |
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"I do not believe there is a Burry effect." — Michael Burry, in an email to Business Insider
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Bloomberg calls it "a dire shift of fortunes for America" and The Wall Street Journal calls it a "New World Order." Now, Dr. David Eifrig – a 40-year market veteran who traded through Black Monday and has recommended more than a dozen triple-digit winners – warns that you must make one of the most important financial decisions of your lifetime today. He strongly recommends this ONE step to potentially secure your retirement. |
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Was It Actually His Doing? |
→ The honest answer: Partly. |
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Semiconductor stocks were already losing momentum before Burry's short positions became widely discussed. Investors had begun questioning how long the AI spending boom could continue, and money was already flowing out of the sector. |
That selling wasn't limited to the U.S. |
Memory giants Samsung and SK Hynix fell sharply in Seoul as concerns spread across global chip markets. |
✱ Burry's disclosures landed in a market that was already leaning bearish. |
As Wealth Club chief investment strategist Susannah Streeter put it, the effect is almost the opposite of the "Buffett effect." Warren Buffett's investments often attract new buyers. Burry's bearish calls tend to reinforce doubts that investors already have, accelerating an existing trend rather than creating one. |
!!! When sentiment is already shifting, one respected investor can make that shift happen a little faster.
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The Bull & The Bear.↓ |
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Both of these can be true at once.
Micron's latest quarter was undeniably strong. Revenue reached a record $41.46 billion, up from $9.30 billion a year earlier, and investors initially rewarded the results with a 15% rally. CEO Sanjay Mehrotra pointed to the growing strategic importance of memory in the AI era, and the numbers backed him up.
Burry isn't disputing any of that.
His thesis is that memory has been one of the market's most cyclical businesses for decades, and exceptional quarters don't eliminate that history. Today's AI boom may be real—but so is the possibility that demand eventually normalizes.
In other words, the debate is about what today's record results are worth once the cycle turns.
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Take a look at this… |
It's a radical "light-speed" device that's turning AI as we know it into "Accelerated AI", making it 100 times faster and 100 times more energy efficient. |
In fact, Jensen Huang, Nvidia's founder and CEO, says this device is shattering the limitations of AI and without it, AI can't scale. |
If you want to discover what this technology is, why Nvidia is betting billions on it… |
And the one stock we believe could be the biggest winner when "Accelerated AI" goes mainstream… |
Click here to see all the details.
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What Burry's Palantir Trade Shows? |
The pattern worth knowing: ↓ |
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When Michael Burry's Palantir short became public last week, many investors treated it like a new trade. |
It wasn't. |
The filing revealed a position that had been opened months earlier, and by the time investors saw it, Burry had already bought back half of the borrowed shares, locking in part of the profit before the market even knew the trade existed. |
That's an important distinction.
Public filings reveal what investors own—not when they bought, sold, or trimmed a position. |
It's also consistent with how Burry has invested for years. He often enters trades long before the consensus changes, then waits patiently while the thesis develops. His famous bet against the housing market took years to play out. |
And that's the part no filing can show.
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He predicted the 2008 financial crisis…
He predicted Trump’s election in 2016….
He even predicted the rise of COVID-19 writing:
“The chance we don’t have something on the scale of a national pandemic in the next few years is near zero”
That was three months before the first reported case. |
If he’s right again, God Bless America… |
Because this crisis will be tectonic in scale…and it's going to begin with the bubble popping in AI.
Click here to view his latest warning
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What Burry's Doing Today? |
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On Friday, Burry publicly backed Hong Kong stocks, arguing that "the shine comes off Korea, Japan & the Soxx"—the very markets that have been this year's biggest winners.
He has already added to his stake in Chinese e-commerce giant JD.
Morgan Stanley has reached a similar conclusion, pointing to improving earnings expectations in Hong Kong.
The common thread: Burry is once again looking away from what's leading and toward what's being overlooked. |
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Don’t forget to cast your vote 👇 |
Poll of the day:Whose investing style is closer to yours? |
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