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Income. Growth. Breakout Potential. |
The all-new 10 Best Stocks to Own in the Second Half of 2026 list is built for balance - and upside. |
Inside, you’ll find dividend powerhouses capable of multi-thousand-dollar payouts…
Plus high-growth names with the kind of chart patterns that have delivered triple-digit returns before.
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You don’t have to choose between income and growth: |
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The 4.7% Line That Didn't Resolve 🔺 |
Every setup this week got an answer except one. |
The ten-year Treasury yield sat at 4.63% on Tuesday and went out above 4.70% on Thursday. That is not a resolution. That is a level being tested in real time, with the argument still open on both sides of it. |
So this one does not get a grade. It gets a structure. |
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STILL IN PLAY — THE 4.70% TEST |
The level: 4.70% on the ten-year. Tuesday's 4.63% is the reference point the week started from. |
How it held Monday to Thursday: yields rose across a week in which the Dow set three record closes. The two-year never came down to meet the equity story, holding near 4.27% into Thursday. |
The invalidation: a settle back beneath 4.63% takes the pressure off and puts the burden back on the people arguing the rally was borrowed. |
What eventually settles it: August CPI on Friday, September 11, then the FOMC on September 15 and 16. |
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The reason this one is worth carrying into next week rather than closing out is that it did not move on an opinion. It moved on prints. |
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📊 BY THE NUMBERS |
199,000 Initial jobless claims, against 198,000 the prior week. No deterioration to price. |
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+44,000 ADP private payrolls for July — the smallest monthly gain in six months. |
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4.27% The two-year into Thursday. It priced no relief at any point this week. |
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Those three figures are the whole tension. Claims say the labour market is fine, which supports higher-for-longer. ADP at 44,000 says hiring is decelerating, which is the first argument the other way anyone has had in a while. And the two-year, which has the least patience of anything on the board, sided with claims. |
Two clocks, one level. The data clock runs through the prints between now and mid-September. The positioning clock runs faster, because a rally that produced three record closes in one week is carrying people who were not in it a fortnight ago, and those are the first to leave if financing costs keep climbing. |
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The Magnificent Seven Will Not Lead Forever |
After a volatile first quarter, our analysts think the rotation is already underway. This report names the seven they believe could lead the back half of 2026 instead. Free report. Not investment advice. All investing involves risk of loss and past performance does not guarantee future results. |
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Here is the part that makes this framing hold up regardless of what any single session does. The level has been tested all week from below and it has not broken in either direction with conviction. If it holds above, the record week reads as the top of a range and the rotation into cyclicals was a trade, not a cycle. If it settles back under 4.63%, the same record week reads as the start of something with room to run. |
| It did not move on an opinion. It moved on prints. |
What to watch: the two-year, not the ten. It has been the least sentimental instrument on the board all week, and it will flinch before the long end does if the data turns. Invalidation stays where it was: a settle beneath 4.63%. |
If the ten-year settles back under 4.63%, does this record week get a second act, or was that the whole move? Send it my way. |
P.S. The Musk project that never came up on the earnings call — five minutes on what it actually is. (Ad) |
— Cal Torres, Markets Editor |
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