Oil had Wall Street’s attention. |
AI stole it back. |
SK Hynix delivered a blockbuster U.S. debut, semiconductor optimism returned, and the S&P 500 finished the week just shy of another record. Even renewed tensions between the U.S. and Iran weren’t enough to keep investors away from the AI trade for long. |
Bank earnings begin next week, inflation data follows shortly after, and both will help determine whether this year’s rally still has room to run. |
For a few days, geopolitics drove the market. |
But the market is already looking at the earnings calendar. |
|
|
⚡ Closing Bell:
→ Dow Jones: ▲ +0.29% to 52,637.01 › Finished higher as investors shifted their focus from geopolitics to the start of earnings season.
→ S&P 500: ▲ +0.42% to 7,575.39 › Ended less than 0.5% below its record close as AI optimism returned following SK Hynix’s blockbuster U.S. debut.
→ Nasdaq: ▲ +0.29% to 26,281.61 › Chipmakers remained in focus as investors continued betting that AI demand will stay strong heading into earnings season.
→ Russell 2000: ▼ -0.49% to 2,977.81 › Small caps lagged as investors favored large-cap technology names ahead of next week’s earnings and inflation reports. |
|
|
Macro Moves:
→ 10-Year Treasury Yield: ▲ to 4.56% › Treasury yields edged higher as investors looked ahead to next week’s CPI report and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s congressional testimony.
→ 2-Year Treasury Yield: ► around 4.20% › Short-term yields were little changed as traders waited for fresh inflation data before repricing the Fed’s next move.
→ Dollar Index (DXY): ► around 100.96 › The dollar was little changed as easing oil prices offset demand for traditional safe-haven assets.
→ Bitcoin: ▲ about 1% › Crypto climbed alongside improving risk appetite as investors rotated back into AI and growth stocks. |
|
|
❗ Looking Ahead:
Wall Street’s attention is about to shift from headlines to hard numbers. |
Big bank earnings begin Tuesday alongside the closely watched CPI report, followed by PPI, retail sales, and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s congressional testimony later in the week. |
The AI story now has to survive earnings season. |
|
|
#TRUTH:
❗❗❗ ❝ Nothing is so strong as gentleness, nothing so gentle as real strength. ❞
~ Saint Francis de Sales |
|
|
|
|
|
Take at look at this stack of papers covered in black marker: |
What you're looking at are the 750 White House files President Trump quietly "redacted" behind closed doors. |
But what happened next was even more peculiar… |
You see, directly after deleting federal files that had been in place since Jimmy Carter was in office… |
President Donald Trump wrote a $300 million check to a controversial company located in Foothill Ranch, California. |
Strangely enough, he didn't utter a single word about it to the cameras. Even more fascinating, it turns out, Trump's not acting alone… |
If you follow the money trail… |
Jeff Bezos, Warren Buffett, Bill Gates… even an up-and-coming tech titan who the late Charlie Munger referred to as, "the new emperor of the world"… have all poured billions into the same area. |
Click here for the full story, including the name of the company Trump just invested $300 million in — absolutely free. |
|
|
The Hottest Part of AI Isn't Nvidia Anymore. |
|
|
SK Hynix just became the largest foreign IPO in U.S. history, and investors wasted no time piling in. The stock jumped nearly 13% on its Nasdaq debut after raising $26.5 billion, giving U.S. investors their easiest way yet to own the world’s largest producer of AI memory chips. |
The excitement goes well beyond one IPO. |
Memory has quietly become one of the biggest bottlenecks in artificial intelligence. Without it, Nvidia’s GPUs spend more time waiting than computing.
SK Hynix now controls more than 56% of the high-bandwidth memory (HBM) market, making it one of the most important companies powering the AI boom.
Unlike GPUs, which do the computing, high-bandwidth memory (HBM) feeds AI models the data they need at incredible speeds. Every advanced AI server needs it, demand continues to outpace supply, and analysts expect the shortage to last for years. |
History, however, offers one reminder. |
Memory has always been one of technology’s most cyclical businesses.
|
|
|
The AI Honeymoon Is Over. |
|
|
Apple and OpenAI used to be partners. |
Now they’re suing each other. |
Apple filed a lawsuit accusing OpenAI of orchestrating a years-long effort to steal confidential hardware designs and recruit employees with access to unreleased products. The complaint alleges former Apple engineers downloaded sensitive files, contacted suppliers, and even asked candidates to bring physical Apple components to interviews. |
The timing matters. |
OpenAI isn’t just building AI models anymore. Following its acquisition of Jony Ive’s startup, the company is developing its own AI hardware—putting it on a direct collision course with the iPhone maker. |
The case highlights something bigger. |
As AI companies move beyond chatbots and into physical devices, Silicon Valley’s next battleground may not be software—but who builds the next generation of consumer hardware. |
|
|
From Buyer to L |
|
|
andlord. |
For a while, Wall Street has questioned whether Meta was spending too much on artificial intelligence. |
Now investors are starting to ask:
What if all those data centers become a business of their own? |
Meta shares climbed nearly 6% after CEO Mark Zuckerberg said the company is exploring renting out its AI computing infrastructure to third parties—a move that could turn billions of dollars in AI spending into a new revenue stream similar to Amazon Web Services. |
The company also introduced its latest AI model, Muse Spark 1.1, and priced it aggressively at $1.25 per million input tokens and $4.25 per million output tokens—well below comparable offerings from Anthropic and OpenAI. |
That pricing wasn’t an accident. |
Meta appears willing to sacrifice margins today in exchange for attracting developers to its ecosystem, much like Amazon did in the early days of cloud computing. |
Is Meta overspending on AI, or quietly building the next cloud business? |
|
|
Gains & Pains: |
Gains:
➝ SK Hynix: ▲ +12.76% › The AI memory giant surged in its U.S. debut after raising $26.5 billion, marking the largest foreign IPO in U.S. history. |
➝ Meta: ▲ +5.97% › Turned positive for the year as investors embraced the company’s expanding AI monetization strategy. |
➝ WD-40: ▲ +10.65% › Shares jumped after the company delivered stronger-than-expected quarterly earnings and raised its outlook. |
➝ Vodafone: ▲ +12.54% › Investors cheered renewed optimism surrounding the telecom giant’s turnaround efforts. |
➝ Almonty Industries: ▲ +12.99% › Continued its strong run as demand for critical minerals and tungsten producers remained robust. |
😬 Pains:
➝ Moderna: ▼ -10.83% › Suffered its biggest one-day decline in over a year as healthcare stocks lagged the broader market. |
➝ SpaceX: ▼ -4.51% › Fell for a fourth straight session as the post-IPO excitement continued to cool. |
➝ Delta Air Lines: ▼ -1.80% › Slipped despite beating earnings estimates as investors focused on rising fuel costs and cautious travel demand. |
➝ Ionis Pharmaceuticals: ▼ -9.37% › Biotech shares weakened as traders rotated into technology and AI-related stocks. |
➝ Tarsus Pharmaceuticals: ▼
🔥 Most Active: |
➝ Nvidia: ▲ +4.03% › Led semiconductor trading as optimism around AI demand returned ahead of earnings season. |
➝ Meta: ▲ +5.97% › Heavy buying pushed shares back into positive territory for the year as AI investment optimism strengthened. |
➝ SpaceX: ▼ -4.51% › Remained one of the market’s most actively traded stocks as investors reassessed its valuation following its Nasdaq-100 inclusion. |
➝ SoFi Technologies: ▲ +0.86% › Financial technology shares attracted buyers ahead of next week’s major bank earnings. |
➝ Nu Holdings: ▲ +0.66% › The digital banking giant traded actively as investors continued favoring growth-oriented financial stocks. |
|
|
Escapes: |
The Bentonite Hills📍 Utah 🇺🇸 |
|
|
|
|
|
Commodities Check : ✔️ |
→ WTI Crude: ▼ 0.93% to $71.41/barrel › Oil eased as hopes for renewed U.S.-Iran talks outweighed this week’s geopolitical tensions. |
→ Brent Crude: ▼ 0.38% to $76.01/barrel › Traders bet diplomacy could keep the Strait of Hormuz open despite the fragile ceasefire. |
→ Gold: ▼ 0.4% to $4,103.23/oz › Bullion slipped as easing geopolitical fears and higher rate expectations reduced demand for safe havens. |
→ Wheat: ▲ 3.3% to $6.40¼/bushel › Jumped to its highest level since late May after Ukraine-related shipping disruptions and tighter global supply forecasts. |
→ Soybeans: ▲ 1.2% to $11.91¾/bushel › Chinese buying and a bullish USDA supply report supported prices. |
→ Corn: ▲ 2.0% to $4.61/bushel › Climbed after the USDA projected tighter U.S. and global inventories, putting weather back in focus for Midwest crops.
|
|
|
The stinger: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Disclaimer |
This letter is not offering investment, trading, or investment advice nor is based on any individual portfolio or business operation. We are not a registered investment, stock nor commodity advisor. One should consult with their own registered advisor to discuss investment strategies that are appropriate for their business or personal goals, risk tolerance and financial situation. Information in this report and on any website is derived from a variety of source believed to be reliable however no representation is made that the information is accurate, complete or correct. These lessons, newsletter and site content is not intended nor shall not constitute or be construed as an offer or recommendation to “buy”, “sell”, “trade” or invest in any securities, commodities, futures, options or other asset referred to in said lessons, reports or newsletters. Rather, this research is intended to identify situations and circumstances that those in the trading community should be aware of to better help assess and improve their own risk management skills. |
|
|
Was this email forwarded to you? Don’t miss out on future stories — subscribe using the button below.
Also, help your friends blossom this spring! Share us with them. |
|
|
|
|
💬 We Want To Hear Your Story: |
Just drop your request in the comments here. |
|
|
P.S. - If you no longer want to receive occasional emails from us and you want to unsubscribe, click here 👉 “Unsubscribe” . Thank you! |
|
|
|
|
Disclaimer |
This letter is not offering investment, trading, or investment advice nor is based on any individual portfolio or business operation. We are not a registered investment, stock nor commodity advisor. One should consult with their own registered advisor to discuss investment strategies that are appropriate for their business or personal goals, risk tolerance and financial situation. Information in this report and on any website is derived from a variety of source believed to be reliable however no representation is made that the information is accurate, complete or correct. These lessons, newsletter and site content is not intended nor shall not constitute or be construed as an offer or recommendation to “buy”, “sell”, “trade” or invest in any securities, commodities, futures, options or other asset referred to in said lessons, reports or newsletters. Rather, this research is intended to identify situations and circumstances that those in the trading community should be aware of to better help assess and improve their own risk management skills. |
This publication is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment, trading, or financial advice and is not based on any individual’s financial circumstances, goals, or risk tolerance. We are not registered investment, stock, or commodity advisors. Always consult a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions. |
Information provided in this newsletter (and on any affiliated website) is obtained from sources believed to be reliable; however, accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Opinions expressed are those of the authors and are subject to change without notice. |
From time to time, this publication may include sponsored content, affiliate links, or advertisements. Such inclusions do not constitute endorsements, and any compensation received does not influence the analysis or opinions presented. TradingLessons is not affiliated with, nor does it verify or guarantee the claims, products, or services of any sponsor or advertiser. Readers should perform their own due diligence before engaging with any advertised offerings. |
Nothing herein should be interpreted as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation to buy, sell, or trade any security, commodity, derivative, or other financial instrument. This content is intended solely to highlight market developments and educational insights to help readers enhance their understanding of trading and risk management.
|
Tidak ada komentar:
Posting Komentar