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Swan Dive — April 21, 2025 The Robots Are Running, the Elites Are Cashing OutAddison Wiggin While the rest of us were back-dating our taxes, twenty-one humanoid robots lined up for a half-marathon in Beijing this weekend. 🤖 Rise of the (Sluggish) Machines China’s Ministry of Industry has declared humanoid robots the “new frontier in technological competition.” The country is investing more than $10 billion across local governments to ramp up development and mass production. 📦 Tariffs Slow Packages, Not PunchesStarting today, DHL is halting high-value deliveries to the U.S. due to new tariffs and customs red tape. Packages over $800? On pause. And by May 2, even low-cost imports like Temu and Shein are going to hit a wall. “Significant increase” in scrutiny is the polite phrase. In practice, it’s trade policy with a baseball bat — and your order of knockoff sneakers is collateral damage. These Texans Have a BIG Secret…Hundreds gathered to privately celebrate deep in Texas’ brush country — locals, state officials, energy insiders, a former U.S. Secretary of Energy, even George W. Bush. Why? Opportunity and MONEY. Not from oil or natural gas … but an energy-packed METAL that’s set to unleash a massive, new third wave of Texas energy wealth. Click here for details. 📉 Insiders Head for the ExitsWhile the average Wall Street compiled 401(k) was getting kicked in the teeth, some of the smartest people on Wall Street were quietly cashing out. Mark Zuckerberg dumped $733 million in Meta stock in January and February — before Trump’s tariffs triggered a 32% nosedive. Oracle’s Safra Catz sold $705 million worth before her company’s 30% plunge. JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon? Out with $234 million. It’s almost like they knew something. Or maybe it’s just luck. Billionaire luck. 🧠 AI and the Magnificent MeltdownTesla and Alphabet report earnings this week, but the glow has worn off the Magnificent Seven. Tesla’s missed delivery targets, scaled back Cybertruck production, and is fending off rumors of a hiring freeze. Alphabet just lost a major antitrust case and is headed into the remedy phase, where the government may push for it to spin off Chrome or Android entirely. ⚖️ Google, Meet the GuillotineToday, the remedy phase of the DOJ’s antitrust case against Google begins. Judge Amit Mehta already called the company “a monopolist” last summer. Now the real conversation begins: how much of Google should be broken off and sold for parts? The government wants to end paid placement on mobile devices. They might go for bigger scalps— Chrome, Android, maybe even the ad empire itself. 🧵 Meta's Monopoly Problem Isn’t Over EitherThe FTC’s antitrust case against Meta resumes this week, accusing Zuckerberg of buying his way to monopoly status by acquiring Instagram and WhatsApp. Meta’s defense? Those platforms succeeded because of Meta. The court will now hear from expert witnesses on market definition — a.k.a., the part where lawyers argue over what counts as a monopoly in 2025. It's dry, yes, but with billions on the line. 🔋 Tesla, Alphabet, Boeing, Capital One, and Chipotle—Oh MyEarnings season continues with Tesla (Tuesday), Alphabet (Thursday), Boeing (Wednesday), Capital One and Chipotle in between. Markets are looking for anything stable to grab onto. It’s still early yet, but this week we’ll start to get a picture of where corporate America stood before Liberation Day, and get a better sense of what havoc tariffs may yet wreak. 📉 Big Picture: Confidence is the Commodity Whether it’s humanoid robots tripping over each other, insiders dumping stock, or DHL refusing to deliver, the pattern is the same: the system’s still running, but nobody trusts it. The AI boom, the tariff war, the regulatory storm — they’re all just symptoms of a larger breakdown in credibility. And in markets, once trust goes, everything else goes with it. To say nothing of the trust in the value of money itself. P.S. Grey Swan Live! returns again Thursday, April 24 at 11am EST. We’ll explore what the new AI trade war means for real-world investing — and the natural resources and energy that’ll be needed to drive it. (Or… simply pre-order Empire of Debt: We Came, We Saw, We Borrowed, now available at Amazon and Barnes & Noble or if you prefer one of these sites: Bookshop.org, Books-A-Million or Target.) |
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