In The Oxford Clubroom a few weeks ago, I was asked for my thoughts on Pfizer (NYSE: PFE), which has a huge yield for a blue chip company. I mentioned that I think the stock is a value trap, as earnings are projected to fall over the next 10 years. The stock has been a dog for 3 1/2 years since reaching its all-time high in late 2021. Today, it trades at less than half that level. Nevertheless, it's easy to understand why income investors are interested in Pfizer. With a current yield of 7.1%, it's one of the highest-yielding stocks in the S&P 500. Let's dig into the dividend and see whether it's in any better shape than the stock. From a cash flow perspective, Pfizer is a victim of its own success. The COVID-19 vaccine generated huge amounts of free cash flow in 2021 and 2022. Since then, the company's cash flow has evaporated. After hitting a peak of $29.9 billion in 2021, free cash flow plummeted to just $4.8 billion in 2023. Last year, free cash flow more than doubled to $9.8 billion, but that was still lower than any year in the past decade other than 2023. This year, it is forecast to grow sharply again to $17.7 billion. |
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