sport football: Stocks and Gold Are Down, Bitcoin Is Up: Here's Why

Bitcoin is sending a quiet signal right now. And if you're not paying attention, you may miss it.

Since the start of Operation Epic Fury on February 28, the world has been on edge.

Oil has skyrocketed as much as 78% in one week. The Dow Index is down as much as 8% from its all-time high. Even traditional safe havens like gold haven't been spared from volatility. The yellow has dropped as much as 8% from its record February peak.

Politicians and generals on both sides of the conflict are talking openly about escalation in the Middle East. Iran's new Supreme Leader vows to keep the Strait of Hormuz closed. That's the narrow waterway that carries roughly 20% of the world's oil supply.

Meanwhile, the International Energy Agency (IEA) warns: "The war in the Middle East is creating the largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market."

On Thursday, President Trump appeared to acknowledge higher oil prices for longer, saying: "The United States is the largest Oil Producer in the World… when oil prices go up, we make a lot of money."

Yet in the midst of all this chaos… bitcoin held its ground.

That might not sound remarkable at first. But when you zoom out, it tells you something important about how this asset is evolving.

Because if you rewind just a few years, the reaction was very different.

When Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, bitcoin plunged as much as 8.5% in a single day.

A year later in October 2023, when Hamas launched its surprise attack on Israel and the region erupted into war, the reaction was still sharp. As Israel began its military response, bitcoin dropped roughly 4% intraday.

Even in June 2025, after Israel launched a surprise attack on Iran that kicked off the so-called "12-day War"… bitcoin briefly sold off nearly 4% again before stabilizing.

But what we're seeing today is different. Bitcoin is actually up 7% since the outbreak of hostilities in the Middle East at the end of last month.

Instead of collapsing under geopolitical pressure, bitcoin is actually absorbing these shocks. In other words, it's becoming more antifragile.

Antifragility describes systems that actually improve or thrive when exposed to volatility… Unlike resilient systems that merely withstand shocks.

When faced with uncertainty, antifragile networks get stronger, not weaker. And that's exactly what we're beginning to see in crypto.

I'm not saying we won't see any volatility moving forward. I'm certain we will. But the current price action is an encouraging sign.

Now, I know that might be hard to believe if you're holding bitcoin today.

After hitting an all-time high of $126,000 in October 2025, bitcoin has plunged as much as 53%. Altcoins have been hit even harder.

Understand this: Bear markets test your convictions. They make even the strongest investors question whether the technology they believe in will actually change the world.

But here's what most investors miss during these brutal downturns. Real progress often happens during bear markets.

And right now, the war in the Middle East is revealing something crucial: Digital assets are starting to prove their value in real time.

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A Crypto Network Just Proved Its Value

My job isn't to analyze geopolitics. My job is to make sure you're positioned in the right ideas so your wealth grows no matter what happens in the world.

And the recent conflict in the Middle East just revealed one of the most important real-world use cases for crypto I've seen in years.

The example comes from a blockchain called Hyperliquid.

Hyperliquid is a decentralized exchange (DEX) that specializes in trading "perpetual" futures contracts.

DEXs deliver the speed, liquidity, and ease of use investors expect from centralized platforms like Coinbase and Binance… Without sacrificing self-custody or transparency.

Think of perpetuals like stock index futures. They allow traders to bet on whether an asset will go up or down… often with leverage… without actually owning the asset itself.

But here's the key difference… Traditional futures markets have set trading hours. Crypto markets don't – they're always open.

When the latest strikes on Iran began after the closing bell on February 28, oil futures weren't trading and gold markets were closed.

But Hyperliquid runs non-stop, even on weekends. It was the only venue where traders could price the news in real time, trading perpetual futures linked to assets like oil, gold, and silver while the rest of the financial world sat in the dark.

Without Hyperliquid, traders would've been in the dark, too.

Over that single weekend, Hyperliquid processed more than $1.2 billion in trading volume tied to oil-linked contracts.

This isn't lost on the legacy institutions. According to Bloomberg, Wall Street is paying closer attention to DEXs as crypto becomes more intertwined with traditional finance.

Now, think about that for a moment…

Bloomberg Terminals are the gold standard for price discovery. For many professional investors and traders, they're the operating system of Wall Street.

But a decentralized crypto exchange became the first platform to provide real-time global price discovery during a geopolitical crisis.

What does that tell you, when traders have to reference crypto exchanges for price discovery? It means we're watching the merger of digital asset markets and traditional finance infrastructure in real time.

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Perpetuals are part of a larger trend we've been following since 2017: The tokenization of real-world or assets (RWAs).

(You can hear Teeka talk about the tokenization trend way back in this May 2017 YouTube video. Not to boast, but he was light years ahead of the mainstream media.)

RWAs are a tokenized representation of traditional assets. I'm talking about assets like real estate, commodities, equities, and Treasuries – all available to trade as tokens on a blockchain. RWAs improve settlement times, transparency, and access for these assets compared to the traditional model.

We're already seeing major institutions move to RWAs…

In October 2025, fintech firm Circle launched a tokenized money market fund on the Solana network. Since its launch, the fund has amassed nearly $2 billion in inflows.
BlackRock is now routing its $2.4 billion tokenized Treasury fund through the decentralized exchange Uniswap. In other words, the world's largest asset manager is allowing investors to trade government bonds directly on the blockchain.
On top of this, JPMorgan issued commercial paper – which is essentially an IOU used by banks and corporations – on the Solana blockchain in December 2025. According to JPMorgan (the world's largest bank), this marks one of the first debt issuances ever on a public blockchain.

I can't overstate how massive all of this is. We're talking about the biggest financial institutions on the planet creating the rails to trade tokenized government bonds… and issuing tokenized corporate debt… on the blockchain.

If you're looking to play the RWA trend, one of my favorite ideas is Solana (SOL).

It's currently third in line as the leader in tokenizing RWAs, behind only Ethereum and BNB Chain. And it recently exceeded Ethereum this month in the number of wallets holding tokenized RWAs.

Another reason we like Solana is because it sits right at the nexus of two other major trends in the crypto market: the rise of stablecoins and artificial intelligence (AI) agents.

AI agents act on behalf of their human creators. They're autonomous software programs designed to achieve specific goals or complete tasks without constant supervision. They can answer emails, plan schedules, book flights, and even help you complete tasks at work.

Think of AI agents as personal assistants living in your pocket. As AI capabilities grow more powerful, the number of things these agents can do for us will expand dramatically.

A stablecoin, meanwhile, is simply a digital dollar backed by an equivalent amount of U.S. Treasury bills. Think of it like the U.S. dollar before 1971, when every greenback printed by the government was backed by gold sitting in a vault.

Now, here's where these two trends come together.

Stablecoins are the missing link between AI's brain and its wallet. Once you connect those two pieces, you unlock AI's full economic potential.

For AI agents to truly function independently, they need a secure, decentralized way to move money and verify identity. Banks don't do business with non-human entities. That means AI agents will be forced to rely on blockchain infrastructure – and the tokens that power it.

And stablecoins are the perfect complement to AI agents. After all, if AI is going to transact on our behalf, it'll need digital money to do it.

Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire laid out a very bullish vision for this during a February earnings call.

He said: "We are entering a world where… tens or even hundreds of billions of AI agents will interact and perform economic functions over the Internet."

He went on to say that the collision of blockchain technology, stablecoins, and AI agents will "drive the greatest acceleration of economic activity we've ever seen in human history, and we're really just at the beginning."

Now let me address something I know many of you are feeling right now. Owning crypto during a bear market can feel like torture.

We often see prices lag fundamentals. It's frustrating as an investor, but it doesn't mean our thesis about altcoins is wrong. It simply means the market hasn't caught up to our view of the future yet.

We're already seeing this play out during the Middle East conflict, as the market begins waking up to the importance of reliable price discovery and 24/7 trading flexibility on decentralized exchanges like Hyperliquid.

Right now, the weakness in the altcoin market is giving us an opportunity to position ourselves in tokens that could rebound sharply once the cycle turns.

That means the right altcoins could still deliver 10x, 15x, or even 20x returns as institutional money discovers them one by one.

Based on our research, crypto projects that support stablecoins and RWAs will be among the biggest beneficiaries of the AI revolution as institutional adoption grows.

And in a recent video briefing, Teeka shared details on six plays to position yourself in right now – including a company he believes will be the gateway between Wall Street and stablecoins. You can stream the replay of his briefing right here.

Remember, investing in crypto is like owning a venture capital fund. That means you buy early-stage projects with high growth potential… and hold them until the rest of the market catches on.

It's a high-risk, high-reward game, which is why we always remind you to keep your position sizes small and uniform. It's how you get through the painful drawdowns… so you can catch the explosive waves higher once the bull market resumes.

Don't Watch the Future Happen. Own it!

Houston Molnar