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This Month's Featured News Where's the Bottom, and When Will It Be Time to Sell D-Wave?Reported by Nathan Reiff. Article Published: 3/23/2026. 
Key Points- D-Wave Quantum shares are down about 44% since the start of the year, though the company's RSI is near 30, suggesting it may be oversold.
- At the same time, the firm's price remains significantly elevated relative to its sales, which are still quite low in absolute terms.
- Investors must try to reconcile these concerns while also trying to ascertain how much farther shares may fall in the current selloff.
- Special Report: Elon Musk already made me a "wealthy man"
By many measures, quantum computing leader D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE: QBTS) has had a strong start to 2026. Most striking: in January alone its bookings exceeded those for all of 2025. That surge was driven primarily by a $10 million deal with a Fortune 100 company and a roughly $20 million system sale. At the same time, the company's cash reserves remain robust as D-Wave pursues a dual approach across multiple technological paths. Still, QBTS stock has not fared well: shares have fallen about 44% so far in 2026, despite the company's encouraging news. Existing shareholders are asking where the bottom might be, while prospective buyers may be waiting for a deeper dip. While it's impossible to say precisely how much farther the selloff may go, examining D-Wave's operating runway helps put a limit on near-term dilution risk. Just How Rational Is the D-Wave Selloff?At first glance, D-Wave's decline looks paradoxical given some strong fundamentals and recent developments highlighted in its latest earnings report. But there are rational reasons investors have discounted the stock. D-Wave has shown meaningful sales growth—revenue nearly tripled year over year in the most recent fiscal year. Yet in absolute terms revenue remains small, under $25 million annually, especially for a company with a market value approaching $6 billion. Coupled with the massive rally earlier in 2025, that has left D-Wave's share price materially inflated relative to sales. The company's price-to-sales (P/S) ratio climbed to nearly 327 last year; even after the recent decline, QBTS still trades at more than 237 times sales. That gap helps explain why some investors view the selloff as justified. Determining the Bottom Is Tricky, But Cash Provides Important InsulationTechnically, D-Wave shows signs of being oversold: its relative strength index (RSI) sits around 30. Recent selling may therefore have been excessive, but that doesn't guarantee the stock has reached its bottom—pinpointing that level is effectively impossible. Fundamentally, investors should note D-Wave's cash position. The company reported about $885 million in cash at the end of the last quarter. Based on current burn rates, that suggests roughly three years of operating runway—excluding potential acquisitions and assuming revenue doesn't continue to grow (which seems unlikely). That cushion makes a collapse to zero unlikely in the foreseeable future and provides important insulation against further selloff pressure. What Signs Might Investors Watch For to Sell?Because it's hard to predict how much lower shares could go—and because Wall Street still gives D-Wave a Moderate Buy rating with implied upside of about 132%—investors should monitor changes in fundamentals. Red flags would include a slowdown in bookings or a material increase in the cash burn rate without corresponding revenue gains. Other risks are subtler. If D-Wave's gate-model system, which it is developing alongside its existing annealing offerings, encounters delays or technical setbacks, investor enthusiasm could wane further. External issues—tariffs, supply-chain disruptions, or other macro constraints—could also alter the calculus around how long D-Wave's cash will sustain operations and how quickly revenue can accelerate. Ultimately, investors must weigh competing arguments. On one hand, the company appears oversold after a sharp decline. On the other, it remains highly valued relative to current sales. That distinction separates investors hunting a near-term share-price reversal and a return to the 2025 highs from those with a long-term conviction that D-Wave will emerge as a leader in the multi-decade race toward quantum dominance. | 
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