sport football: 📊 Best Stocks Last 10 Years

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Happy Monday!

Last Sunday, Citrini Research outlined a scenario where aggressive AI adoption leads to widespread white collar job losses, weaker consumer income, and a deflationary feedback loop across the economy.

It was framed as a possibility, not a prediction, but the note rattled markets and several linked names aggressively sold off.

Days later, part of that narrative hit closer to home.

Block announced it would cut roughly 40% of its workforce, with AI cited as a contributing factor.
Some investors argue the move reflects pandemic overhiring rather than structural disruption.

Still, the stock jumped nearly 20% the next day, prompting a new debate over how many other tech firms may be similarly bloated and whether massive AI driven layoffs are about to accelerate.

Key Data Bites Over The Last Week:

$9T of funds are overweight these 5 stocks.
Analysts expect these 10 stocks to recover after dropping >20%.
OpenAI raised $110B from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank at $730B valuation.
ChatGPT now has 900M weekly active users.
SpaceX may confidentially file for an IPO in March at a $1.75T valuation.
Trump is facing >2,000 tariff lawsuits following Supreme Court loss.
Mortgage rates have dropped to lowest level since 2022.
ASML unveiled new light boost that could yield 50% more chips by 2030.
Novo Nordisk will cut U.S. prices for its obesity drugs by up to 50%.
AMD will invest $150M in Nutanix and provide $100M for joint AI engineering.
45% of all Bitcoin are worth less than what holders paid for them.
Salesforce unveiled a $50B share buyback program.
Dell expects AI server revenue to double to $50B in 2027.

In today's newsletter:

📉 IBM's Worst Decline
📈 Best Stocks Last 10 Years
🚀 Nvidia Keeps Growing
😢 Tesla Is All Alone
💰 Netflix Is Getting Paid

Let's jump right in.

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IBM just became one of AI's next target.

The stock posted its steepest daily drop since 2000 after Anthropic announced that its AI tools can modernize legacy COBOL systems, and automate the most time consuming parts of that process.

This would compress projects that once required years and large consulting teams into a matter of quarters.
Legacy system upgrades and maintenance have long been a steady, high margin business embedded within IBM's consulting ecosystem.

The headline alone was enough to push shares back into negative territory for the year.

IBM is now down more than 20% this month and on pace for its worst month since 1972.

AI has minted two of the best investments of the last decade.

Among S&P 500 companies, chipmakers tied to the AI buildout have delivered some of the market's largest gains.

A $10K investment in Nvidia would be worth about $2.5M today.
The same investment in AMD would be worth roughly $1M.

And the deal flow is still accelerating.

On Tuesday, Meta agreed to buy 6 GW of AI computing power from AMD in a deal reportedly worth over $100B, including warrants that could give it up to 10% ownership.
Just a week earlier, Meta expanded its partnership with Nvidia, committing tens of billions of dollars to secure GPUs and related hardware for its AI data centers.

As hyperscalers race to scale infrastructure, chip suppliers remain at the center of the spending wave.

Speaking of Nvidia — they delivered yet another massive quarter.

Revenue jumped 73% to $68.1B, beating expectations, with data center sales again driving the bulk of growth.

Full year revenue crossed $200B for the first time ever.
Guidance also came in far ahead of estimates, with next quarter sales projected at $78B.
That outlook also excludes any potential data center revenue from China.

On paper, it was strong across the board. Yet the stock fell. Why?

After years of massive beats, expectations are extreme, and investors remain concerned about the sustainability of current AI investments.
Add in what many analysts consider limited detail around future growth drivers, and even a great quarter was not enough to move the bar higher.

Earnings season for the Magnificent 7 has come to a close.

The results show a clear divide in growth.

As we just saw, Nvidia remains the leader, with revenue up 73% last quarter.
Meta follows at 24%, while most of the group is expanding in the mid to high teens.

Then there is Tesla.

Sales declined 3%, pressured by competition in China, the expiration of EV tax credits, and an aging lineup.
Despite that slowdown, the stock is still up more than 40% over the past year.

At a $1.3T market cap and 374x earnings multiple, investors are continuing to bet that Elon can execute on his vision of robotaxis, humanoid robots, and energy technology.

Netflix walks away.

The company has exited its proposed acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery after Paramount returned with a higher bid.

Paramount's revised $31 per share all cash offer was deemed superior, valuing Warner Bros. at an enterprise value of $110B.
Under the terms, Paramount will cover a $7B regulatory termination fee if the deal fails to close and will also pay the $2.8B breakup fee owed to Netflix.

For Netflix, the outcome avoids layering on significant debt while collecting a sizable cash payment.

To put it into context — that $2.8B breakup fee is larger than the $2.4B in profit Netflix generated last quarter.

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🅿️ Parking Play^↗ – Uber is set to acquire parking app SpotHero.

🛡️ Defense Mode^↗ – PayPal is not exploring a sale and is preparing for potential activist pressure.

⛔️ Claude Ban^↗ – Trump administration has banned U.S. agencies from using Anthropic after the company refused Pentagon demands.

🇺🇸 Market Downgrade^↗ – UBS downgraded the U.S. stock market and flagged dollar risk as a key concern.

🇮🇷 Operation Epic Fury^↗ – The U.S. and Israel launched a series of strikes against Iran.

Notable Companies Reporting Earnings Week of March 1, 2026:

Major Trades Published 2/23 - 2/27. Trades may be those of family members. [Source: Capitol Trades]

Buys

Cleo Fields (D)
- Company: Micron Technology ($MU)
  - Amount Purchased: $100K - $250K
- Company: Meta Platforms ($META)
  - Amount Purchased: $100K - $250K
- Company: Alphabet ($GOOGL)
  - Amount Purchased: $100K - $250K
- Company: AMD ($AMD)
  - Amount Purchased: $50K - $100K
Jonathan Jackson (D)
- Company: ViaSat ($VSAT)
  - Amount Purchased: $50K - $100K
- Company: Walmart ($WMT)
  - Amount Purchased: $50K - $100K

Sells

Jonathan Jackson (D)
- Company: Shopify ($SHOP)
  - Amount Purchased: $50K - $100K
- Company: T-Mobile ($TMUS)
  - Amount Purchased: $50K - $100K
Scott Franklin (R)
- Company: The Hershey Co. ($HSY)
  - Amount Purchased: $52K - $130K

Major Trades Published 2/23 - 2/27

Buys

Figma ($FIG)
- Insider: Andrew Reed (Director)
  - # of Shares Purchased: 912,749
  - $ Amount: $22,183,700
  - SEC Forms: [1]
Uber ($UBER)
- Insider: Balaji Krishnamurthy (CFO)
  - # of Shares Purchased: 22,453
  - $ Amount: $1,599,780
  - SEC Forms: [1]

Sells

Royal Caribbean ($RCL)
- Insider: Alexander Arne (Director)
  - # of Shares Sold: 364,251
  - $ Amount: $115,033,677
  - SEC Forms: [1]
Meta Platforms ($META)
- Insider: Susan Li (CFO)
  - # of Shares Sold: 55,702
  - $ Amount: $35,293,175
  - SEC Forms: [1]

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