By Jeff Clark, editor, Delta Report Buying into the gold sector right now is a mistake. You’ll have a better chance to do so in the weeks ahead. Let’s be clear… Gold stocks are in a new, long-term bull market. They will be higher several months from now than where they are today. But, in the short term, they’re most likely headed lower. Take a look at this chart of the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners Fund (GDX)… This is perhaps the most vulnerable-looking chart in the stock market right now. Recommended Link | “My Gold confession” Gold is one of the best long-term investments in the world right now. If you’re like most people, you may have already bought gold stocks… bullion… or some other gold investment. If so, you’ll probably do quite well. But in this video, I’m going to share a much different way to make money on gold. Gains of up to 5 or 10 times MORE… …in a fraction of the time… …no matter what happens to the price of gold along the way. | | -- | The action in GDX over the past few weeks has formed a “rising wedge” pattern on the chart, with negative divergence on the momentum indicators. In other words, as GDX has rallied to slightly higher highs, the various momentum indicators at the bottom of the chart have been making lower highs. This indicates that the momentum behind the rally is fading. And, it’s often an early warning sign of an impending decline. Admittedly, the chart of GDX also showed negative divergence back in mid-July. And the gold sector was able to rally higher despite that divergence. But the rally is now six weeks older. GDX is now about 10% higher. And, the negative divergence is even more pronounced. Add to this the near-record short interest among the commercial traders (the so-called “smart money”), and the potential for a Gold Miners Bullish Percent Index ($BPGDM) sell signal, and you have the makings of a several-week-long decline in the gold sector. If GDX breaks the rising wedge pattern to the downside, then the minimum target would be a move down to the August low at about $28 per share. But I think it could go deeper than that. The late-July low at about $26 looks like a more reasonable target. And, if the selling pressure really kicks into gear, then GDX could decline all the way back to where it was in early July and hit $25 per share. Understand, though… a decline to any of those targets isn’t going to change the longer-term bullish outlook for the gold sector. GDX will still be up nicely on the year. It will still be in a longer-term bullish pattern. Traders should be looking to buy into the gold sector as GDX reaches one of those lower targets. For now, though, the gold sector looks vulnerable to a decline. Best regards and good trading, Jeff Clark Editor, Delta Report P.S. I hesitated to go public with this… As some of you might know, I’m a private guy. I’m not interested in the spotlight. All I want is to help everyday folks make money in the stock market – no matter which way it turns. But when I saw the action in the gold market recently, I knew I had to put this out there. Too many folks are simply “buying and holding” gold stocks, hoping they’ll keep running higher… when really, there’s a simple technique that could potentially earn you 10x more money in the gold market – without even touching gold stocks. Get all the details right here. Reader Mailbag Where do you think gold is headed in the short term? Have you benefited from gold’s rally so far? As always, send any questions, comments, or concerns to feedback@caseyresearch.com. In Case You Missed It… Man Who Called ’11 Gold Crash has New Warning He called the 2006 gold correction… The 2011 gold crash… The 2016 gold surge… The 2017 year-end gold rally… And the 2019 gold boom. This week only, he’s sharing a new warning that could help you double or triple your money on gold. The last time he made a gold announcement, in June, you could have more than tripled your money in 26 days. Click here to learn more.
|
Tidak ada komentar:
Posting Komentar