| The Trade Setup Before I got positioned on RILY, the market was picking up momentum after some oversold conditions. And I was looking for some stocks that had the potential to squeeze. One of the main reasons RILY caught my attention is because the stock had a heavy short interest. At the time I placed the trade, the short interest in RILY was 75%. After a recent monster rally, it has come down to 65%. Let's break it down step by step... Short interest: In the stock market, when someone believes that a particular stock's price will decrease, they can engage in what's called "short selling." Here's how it works: - They borrow shares of a stock from someone who owns it (typically through their broker).
- They sell these borrowed shares on the market at the current price, hoping to buy them back later at a lower price.
- If the price does indeed drop, they buy back the shares at the lower price and return them to the lender, pocketing the difference as profit.
High short interest: This simply refers to a situation where a large number of investors are engaging in short selling for a particular stock. So, a stock with high short interest means that there are many investors betting that its price will go down. Short squeeze: Now, imagine the opposite happens - instead of the stock price going down, it starts going up. When this occurs, it puts pressure on short sellers. Here's why: As the stock price rises, short sellers start losing money because they sell shares at a lower price and need to buy them back at a higher price to return them. Short sellers may start feeling the heat if the stock price rises significantly. They might cut their losses and buy back the shares they borrowed before the price goes even higher. When many short sellers rush to buy back shares to cover their positions (known as "covering their shorts"), it creates additional demand for the stock, further driving its price up. This sudden surge in buying activity, especially from short sellers trying to exit their positions, can lead to a rapid increase in the stock's price, called a short squeeze. If you don't know the story, RILY has been under attack by short sellers, alleging the company committed fraud. The stock declined from last year's high of $91.24, down to a low of $14.26 in February. |
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