Why Microsoft and Google split paths.
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| | | | | The room is quiet, but the signal is deafening. | For three years, the world obsessed over Large Language Models. The market chased software and assumed the hardware would keep up. They assumed the wall socket was infinite. | They were wrong. | We are witnessing a structural break in how technology consumes resources. The constraint is no longer silicon yield; it is the raw physics of electricity. | Most investors stare at the screen. You need to look at the power plant. |
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| | | | | The Terrestrial Ceiling | The hum of a modern data center is not just noise. It is the sound of a grid under siege. | By late 2024, the cracks were visible in the reporting. Google quietly disclosed that its electricity consumption doubled to 30.8 million MWh. That is not a growth metric; it is a warning light. | | U.S. data centers are on track to consume 12% of the nation's total electricity by 2028. | This creates a thermodynamic ceiling. You cannot build infinite intelligence on a finite grid without breaking local infrastructure. | The signal is clear. This is not a software problem. It is a physics problem. | When the terrestrial grid becomes a bottleneck, operators do not stop growing. They look for a new environment entirely. | Google's "Project Suncatcher" admits defeat: Earth's grid can't power AI. | | While Google flees to orbit for 8x solar efficiency, Microsoft is restarting Three Mile Island to secure terrestrial power. | The race is on. Trump's Executive Order 14301 mandates new nuclear reactors by July 4, 2026. | But they all require one critical "AI Fuel" (HALEU). | One small company holds the key. | |
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| | | | | The Orbital Pivot | While Microsoft looks to nuclear reactors on the ground, Google looks up. | We are tracking the deployment of Project Suncatcher. This is not a sci-fi vanity project; it is a calculated utility play. | By early 2027, Google will launch prototype satellites in partnership with Planet. They will test high-performance TPU hardware in Low Earth Orbit (LEO). | The logic is brutally simple. Solar panels in sun-synchronous orbit operate with 8x efficiency compared to terrestrial farms. There is no night, no clouds, and no atmosphere—just constant energy. | Imagine a data center floating in a vacuum. It is silent, cold, and bathed in perpetual sunlight. | Google aims to harvest 28kW of power per satellite. They are building a distributed AI grid that lives above the atmosphere. | Treat it less as a pitch and more as a signal. The ground is too crowded. The plumbing is moving to the sky. | The Economics of Gravity | For decades, the cost of fighting gravity made space-based compute impossible. | That math has officially broken. The arrival of reusable heavy-lift vehicles like the SpaceX Starship is rewriting the ledger. | | We are moving toward a launch cost of $50-250/kg by 2035. At that price, putting heavy silicon into orbit is cheaper than building power plants in Virginia. | Google CEO Sundar Pichai frames this as a 10-year horizon. Yet the prototypes launch in barely 14 months. | They are testing V6e Trillium TPUs for radiation hardness. They found the chips can withstand 150 rad(Si)/year. | This is the convergence we often discuss. Launch costs drop while energy demand spikes. Suddenly, the impossible becomes the inevitable. | The Great Bifurcation | We are entering a period of infrastructure bifurcation. | On one side, you have the "Heavy Earth" strategy. This means restarting nuclear plants like Three Mile Island to feed monsters on the ground. | On the other, you have the "Orbital Escape." This moves energy-intensive training runs to the vacuum of space. | | Project Suncatcher proves the grid is no longer a public utility. It is a competitive moat. | By 2027, the question will not be how fast your chip is. It will be where your chip lives. | Smart investors are not buying software stocks. They are buying the copper, the uranium, and the launch providers that build the new rails. | The room is quiet, but the machinery is moving. | Watch the skies. |
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