Rabu, 31 Desember 2025

Resistance Keeps Capping Short-Term Attempts

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Resistance Keeps Capping Short-Term Attempts

The market is still compressing beneath resistance, favoring continued sideways digestion or a controlled breakout attempt unless shallow support fails.

TradersPro

Dec 31

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Market Overview: S&P 500 futures remain in a strong uptrend, slipping modestly this morning while holding inside the bullish momentum zone and staying well above shallow Fibonacci support.

Bullish/Bearish Trend Analysis

Trend Condition: Bullish Trends: 14 Bearish Trends: 0

Trend Condition: Strong Uptrend
Explanation: All 14 trend lines continue to slope upward with zero bearish lines, confirming a fully aligned bullish structure with no opposing downward force in the stack.

Trend Structure: wide
Implication: The wide separation between the fast and slow EMAs reflects durable underlying momentum, though the pace of price movement shows the steadier rhythm of a maturing trend.

Probability Outlook:
Continuation: ~65 % chance, supported by a fully bullish stack and strong support above the 23.6 % retracement.
Consolidation / Pullback: ~35 % chance, particularly as price continues to stall beneath the multi-week resistance band.

Charts by TradingView

Price Action and Momentum Zones

Current Price and Change: Currently, the S&P 500 Futures are at 6,935.25, down by 10.25 pts or 0.15 % vs the prior session shown on the chart.

Market Behavior: Today’s bar is a small red candle, signaling mild intraday softness after repeated tests of the resistance boundary. The pullback remains shallow and controlled, consistent with recent tight-range behavior.

Momentum Zones: Price remains above the 23.6 % retracement and firmly inside the bullish momentum zone. Buyers continue to defend shallow support while momentum compresses beneath resistance.

Fib Retracement Levels

Current Position Relative to Levels: The market is currently above the 23.6 % Fib retracement on this chart.

Analysis: Holding above the shallow 23.6 % level keeps the overall trend structure intact and classifies recent action as consolidation rather than deterioration. Deeper Fibonacci zones remain untouched, providing meaningful demand levels should sellers gain traction.

Overall Market Interpretation: Today’s slight decline does not materially affect the strong uptrend. All trend lines remain bullish, price holds inside the momentum zone, and shallow support continues to anchor the structure. The market is still compressing beneath resistance, favoring continued sideways digestion or a controlled breakout attempt unless shallow support fails.

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