One key metric is flashing levels seen only in the most speculative periods of the past century.
There is a growing disconnect in U.S. markets. | As we close 2025, equity valuations have pushed beyond 220% of GDP—a level reached only during the most speculative moments of the last 100 years. | When asset prices rise this far ahead of the economy, investors don't necessarily lose money immediately. They lose time. | Future returns have been pulled forward, and the math suggests we are entering a "lost decade" for paper assets. | Most investors are ignoring this signal. But the biggest player in the game is already moving. |
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| Special Report from Golden Portfolio | U.S. markets are more overvalued than ever in history. | The Buffett Indicator sits above 210%, signaling extreme risk to anyone holding paper assets. | | | | Tech stocks, AI hype, and runaway printing have created the perfect storm. | Buffett is sitting on $330 billion in cash and preparing to move into gold — his historical safe haven. | Every previous market peak has proven that gold outperforms everything else during the next decade. | Final confirmation of my prediction could come by February 17th — when Buffett's 13F filing hits the tape. | | | | You want to be in position before that happens. | Go here to get the name and ticker of Buffett's next big gold move. | These small-cap miners have the potential to deliver 100X returns. | Protect your wealth while others are left holding overvalued paper assets. | Act now—these opportunities may vanish once Buffett's moves hit the market. | | |
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| | Mirage of Security | One reason markets feel calm is that volatility is low. Corporate earnings haven't collapsed. And AI optimism continues to dominate narratives. | But valuation doesn't work like sentiment. | When asset prices rise faster than the economy supporting them, the "easy money" has already been made. This is exactly why late-cycle markets feel comfortable right before they become frustrating. | | | | Why Gold Keeps Re-Entering the Conversation | Gold isn't rising because investors expect the world to end. It rises when real returns compress and capital preservation becomes more important than growth. | In the final weeks of 2025, gold has continued to push higher — not on fear, but on reallocation. | At the same time: | Market valuations remain extreme AI enthusiasm is showing cracks beneath the surface Volatility gauges remain unusually calm
| That combination has rarely lasted long. | The February Signal | There's another reason gold is back in focus. | Every quarter, one document forces reality into public view: Warren Buffett's 13F filing. The next one lands in mid-February. | Historically, when Buffett shifts capital after long periods of patience, markets notice — but usually after the move is already underway. | That timing matters. Because the best positioning doesn't happen once confirmation arrives. It happens before consensus catches up. |
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| Where This Leads | As we enter 2026, the market's biggest risk isn't collapse. It's overconfidence. | When valuations are stretched, returns become selective. Discipline matters more than optimism. And assets that don't depend on growth assumptions start to matter again. | That's why gold — and the companies tied to it — are quietly returning to portfolios that prioritize durability over excitement. | Not because something is broken. But because cycles still exist. | And they always will. |
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| | Written by Deniss Slinkins Global Financial Journal |
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