A message from our friends at Brownstone Research (Sponsor) | Editor's Note: Tech legend Jeff Brown – the same man who predicted the rise of NVIDIA before it soared 28,080% – is alerting the world to Bezos' quiet return to Amazon. Because the company's latest AI project could kickstart a new $26 trillion revolution and light a fire under one tiny Amazon supplier. Click here to see what Brown uncovered or read more below... | | Dear Reader, | Ever wish you had invested in Amazon back in 1997? | Well, what if I told you Bezos has been working on a breakthrough AI project in a tiny research lab in San Francisco... | And analysts say this tech could be worth 10 times more than Amazon. | | I'm not talking about chatbots, this is a brand-new form of AI. | And to bring it to the public... | Bezos is partnering with an under-the-radar company 38 times smaller than Amazon. | That's why this company could soon see explosive gains when Bezos announces the rollout. | I've put all my research into a short video to show you exactly what's happening... | Click here to watch it before everyone catches on. | Regards, | Jeff Brown
Founder & CEO, Brownstone Research | | BONUS ARTICLE | Target's Turnaround Signal | In a market that's been punishing "maybe later" stories, Target just delivered something rare: a plausible near-term turn. | Not because Q4 was perfect. | Because guidance finally drew a line under the downcycle—and the tape is treating that as a regime shift. | Target's stock popped premarket after reporting Adjusted EPS of $2.44 (ahead of expectations reported by major outlets) and guiding to ~2% net sales growth in fiscal 2026, with net sales expected to grow in every quarter. | That's the "bright spot." | Now comes the Cheap Investor question: | Is this a real turnaround… and is the stock cheap relative to the durability of the recovery? | | Scoreboard: What Happened | The quarter (FY2025 Q4, ended Jan. 31, 2026): | Net sales: $30.5B (down 1.5% YoY). Comparable sales: -2.5% GAAP EPS: $2.30 (included $0.15 of transformation costs) Adjusted EPS: $2.44 (and better than estimates per coverage). Gross margin: 26.6% (up from 26.2% last year) Operating income: $1.38B (down 5.9% YoY); Adjusted operating income was $1.5B, slightly above last year.
| The guide (FY2026 outlook): | Net sales growth: around ~2% vs FY2025, driven by a small comp increase plus >1 point from new stores + non-merchandise sales; expects net sales growth each quarter. Operating margin: about +20 bps vs FY2025 adjusted operating margin (4.6%). EPS guide: $7.50–$8.50 (GAAP and adjusted).
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U.S. Wants to Lead AI. It Needs American Uranium.(sponsor)
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Nearly 19% of U.S. electricity already comes from nuclear power. Yet America imports 99% of the uranium required to run it. Now AI data centers are accelerating demand - and Washington is pouring billions into rebuilding domestic supply.
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One American energy name is positioning early in the middle of that shift.
| | (…continued) | The Real Reason the Stock Is Up | This is not a "comps are back" celebration. | Comps were still negative. | This is the market reacting to two things: | 1) The trend improved late in the quarter | Target explicitly said sales and traffic accelerated in the last two months and cited a "healthy, positive" sales increase in February. | That matters because a retailer doesn't guide for quarterly growth "across the board" unless they see something real in near-term demand and execution. | 2) Margin quality improved (quietly) | Gross margin improved to 26.6% on: | | Translation: the machine got less leaky, even before topline recovery. | That's why guidance looked "optimistic" relative to the last few years. | | Deep Dive: What Changed Under the Hood | Target's release flagged a set of "non-merchandise" and services vectors that are doing real work: | Non-merchandise sales: up 25%+ Membership revenue: more than doubled Roundel (ads): double-digit growth Marketplace: 30%+ growth Same-day delivery (Target Circle 360): 30%+ growth
| Cheap Investor translation:
Target is trying to re-rate from "pure merch cycle" into "merch + higher-margin services." | If that mix shift is real, it can support margins even while comps are only modestly positive. | | Is It Cheap? | "Cheap" doesn't mean low share price. It means mispriced durability. | The bullish "cheap" case for TGT is: | FY2026 becomes the first up-sales year in three years (~2% growth) margins expand modestly (management guiding +20 bps) services/ads/membership keep scaling (higher-quality gross profit dollars)
| The bear case is: | comps stay weak (Q4 comps were still -2.5%) the guide proves "early" and the stock gives back the premarket gap discretionary demand stays soft
| My Cheap Investor take:
TGT looks "cheap enough to watch" if you believe the comp line can turn slightly positive and stay there.
But this is not a deep-value liquidation story—it's a confidence recovery trade. | | Bull / Base / Bear | Bull:
Comps turn positive, services/ads scale, gross margin holds, and the market re-rates TGT as "steady growth again" with improving mix. | Base:
Sales grow ~low single digits, margins grind up slowly, and the stock works higher in a choppy range as confidence rebuilds quarter-by-quarter. | Bear:
The late-quarter acceleration fades, promo pressure returns, and the guide looks like hope—sending the stock back into the "no growth, no multiple" zone. | | Action Plan | This is the wrong setup to chase blindly premarket. | The right setup is to let the market show you whether the re-price sticks: | Watch the open: does it hold the gap, or fade all morning? Key tells: comp trend language, margin drivers (shrink/fulfillment), and whether services growth continues. Bargain hunter entry rule: scale in (1/3, 1/3, 1/3) only if price holds above the post-earnings "acceptance zone" (not just a knee-jerk spike).
| | Cheap Investor Checklist: Next 90 Days | Does comparable sales turn positive (even modestly)? Does digital stay positive while store comps stabilize? Does gross margin stay ≥26% while costs rise? Do Roundel + membership + marketplace keep compounding? Does management stay consistent with "growth each quarter" guidance as new data prints?
| | Bottom Line | Target didn't report a perfect quarter. | It reported a credible inflection: improving trend, improving margin quality, and guidance that finally points up again. | If the comp line stabilizes and the higher-margin "non-merch" engines keep scaling, TGT can be one of the few large-cap retailers where "cheap" actually means improving fundamentals—not just a discounted chart. | Educational purposes only; not financial advice. |
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