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Happy Sunday! |
Before we dive in, I wanted to say a huge thank you to all of you! |
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Some key data bites from this week that you should know: |
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In today's newsletter: |
🔎 Google Search Remains Strong 🦾 AMD Meets Expectations ☁️ Microsoft Misses Revenue Forecast 📲 Meta Projects More CapEx 🍎 Apple Sees Low Digit Sales Growth
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Despite a surge in search competitors popping up, Alphabet continues to flex its strength. |
On Tuesday, Google's parent company reported Q3 FY24 earnings, beating expectations on both the top and bottom lines. |
Here are the key data points for the quarter: |
🟢 Adj. EPS: $2.12 vs. $1.85 Est. 🟢 Revenue: $88.27B vs. $86.30B Est. 🟢 YouTube Ad Revenue: $8.92B vs. $8.89B Est. 🟢 Google Cloud Revenue: $11.35B vs. $10.88B Est. 🔴 TAC: $13.72B vs. $13.53B
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Alphabet saw revenue climb 15% YoY, adjusted EPS rise 37%, and operating margin expand by 4.5 points. |
The most eye-catching part of the report? |
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To add icing on the cake, YouTube's ad and subscription revenue crossed $50B over the past four quarters for the first time ever. |
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AMD didn't get the same love as Alphabet. |
The company's Q3 earnings and guidance left investors underwhelmed. |
Here are the key data points for the quarter: |
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Revenue rose 18%, operating income jumped 223%, and operating margin expanded by 7 points. Adjusted EPS climbed 31%. |
The data center segment, which includes AI chip sales, soared 122% to $3.5B. Client segment revenue also grew 29% YoY, while Gaming and Embedded segments declined 69% and 25%, respectively, due to lower semi-custom revenue and inventory normalization.
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One bright spot of the report? |
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So, why did shares drop 11% last week? |
Investors were disappointed that revenue for the current quarter is expected to align with analyst estimates of $7.54B. This, coupled with adjusted EPS for Q3 only coming in line with expectations sent shares downward.
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Like AMD, Microsoft shares also took a fall this week, declining 5%. |
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For the current quarter, Microsoft expects revenue to grow 10.6% to $68.6B at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $69.83B. |
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Despite this news, results for Q1 FY25 were solid. |
Here were the key data points for the quarter: |
🟢 Adj. EPS: $3.30 vs. $3.10 Est. 🟢 Revenue: $65.59B vs. $64.51B Est. 🟢 Productivity & Business Processes Revenue: $28.32B vs. $27.9B Est. 🟢 Intelligent Cloud Revenue: $24.09B vs. $24.04B Est. 🟢 Azure Growth: 33% vs. 32.8% Est. 🟢 More Personal Computing Revenue: $13.18B vs. $12.56B Est.
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Revenue rose 16%, and net income grew 11%. |
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CEO Satya Nadella commented on the quarter, "AI-driven transformation is changing work, work artifacts, and workflow across every role, function, and business process." |
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Meta released its Q3 earnings on Wednesday, surpassing analyst expectations on both the top and bottom line. |
Here were the key data points for the quarter: |
🟢 Adj. EPS: $6.03 vs. $5.25 Est. 🟢 Revenue: $40.59B vs. $40.29B 🔴 Daily Active People: $3.29B vs. $3.31B Est.
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A slight miss on daily active people weighed on shares, closing 3% lower this week. |
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Attention also turned to Meta's rising costs and capital expenditures, with total costs and expenses up 14% YoY to $23.24B, and capital expenditures reaching $9.20B. |
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Revenue for Q3 climbed 19%, and net income soared 35%. |
Meta's ad business remains strong, with ad impressions up 7% YoY and the average ad price rising 11%. The company generated a robust $15.52B in free cash flow in Q3, with cash and cash equivalents at $70.9B.
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For Q4, Meta projects revenue at $46.5B at the midpoint, slightly ahead of analyst estimates of $46.3B. |
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Apple's Q4 FY24 earnings report highlighted solid iPhone sales but revealed softer performance across other product lines. |
Here were the key data points for the quarter: |
🟢 Adj. EPS: $1.64 vs. $1.60 Est. 🟢 Revenue: $94.93B vs. $94.58B Est. 🟢 iPhone revenue: $46.22B vs. $45.47B Est. 🔴 Mac revenue: $7.74B vs. $7.82B Est. 🔴 iPad revenue: $6.95B vs. $7.09B Est. 🔴 Services revenue: $24.97B vs. $25.28B Est.
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Apple topped both revenue and EPS estimates, driven by a 6% increase in iPhone revenue. However, the company fell short on Mac, iPad, and Services estimates. |
Shares declined 5% over the past week for two reasons: |
Apple paid a $10.2B one-time income tax charge to settle a dispute with Ireland. The company projected "low to mid-single digit" sales growth for next quarter, below the 6.6% analysts expected.
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In related news, Warren Buffett reduced his Apple stake by 25% in Q3, following a 50% cut in Q2. |
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🎛️ Dow Swap. Nvidia is set to join the Dow Jones, replacing Intel - CNBC | ✌️ Auditor Exit. EY has resigned as Super Micro's auditor following concerns around governance and transparency - BB | 🚀 SearchGPT Launch. ChatGPT launched its AI-powered search engine - OAI | 🔎 Meta Search. Meta is building its own AI-powered search engine within the Meta AI Chatbot - TV | 🏧 Cashback Consequences. JPMorgan is suing customers who took advantage of the ATM "infinite money glitch" - CNBC | 💾 Chip Partnership. OpenAI is building its first in-house AI chip in collaboration with Broadcom and TSMC - R | 💼 AI Scout. LinkedIn launched its first AI agent to automate a recruiter's most repetitive tasks - LNKD |
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| Presented by our sponsor, EarningsHub |
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Notable Companies Reporting Earnings This Week: |
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Here's what I will be watching this week: |
Monday: Palantir $PLTR, Hims & Hers Health $HIMS Tuesday: Ferrari $RACE, SuperMicro $SMCI, Coupang $CPNG Wednesday: Celsius $CELH, Novo Nordisk $NVO, Qualcomm $QCOM, Arm $ARM, MercadoLibre $MELI, Duolingo $DUOL, FICO $FICO Thursday: Datadog $DDOG, Moderna $MRNA, Airbnb $ABNB, Rivian $RIVN, The Trade Desk $TTD, Block $SQ, CloudFlare $NET, Monster $MNST Friday: Paramount $PARA
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I use EarningsHub to track earnings, estimates, and receive AI summaries of investor calls. |
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| Major Trades Published 10/28 - 11/1. Trades may be those of family members. [Source: 2iQ] |
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Buys |
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Sells |
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| Major Trades Published 10/28 - 11/1 |
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Buys |
Beyond Inc ($BYON) Crocs Inc ($CROX)
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Sells |
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🤝 Review of the Week |
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Disclosure: I own $GOOG, $MSFT, $AAPL | Disclaimer: The publisher does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in this page. All statements and expressions herein are the sole opinion of the author, paid advertiser, or partner and do not reflect the official policy or position of any other agency, organization, employer or company. | Carbon Finance is a publisher of financial information, not an investment or financial advisor. We do not provide personalized or individualized investment advice or information that is tailored to the needs of any particular recipient. | The information contained on this website/newsletter has been crafted with the assistance of an AI language model to enhance the content of this newsletter. We have made efforts to ensure the quality and reliability of the information presented, but we cannot guarantee its absolute accuracy. Therefore, readers are advised to exercise their own judgment and seek additional sources if necessary. | THE INFORMATION CONTAINED ON THIS WEBSITE/NEWSLETTER IS NOT AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSTRUED AS INVESTMENT ADVICE, AND DOES NOT PURPORT TO BE AND DOES NOT EXPRESS ANY OPINION AS TO THE PRICE AT WHICH THE SECURITIES OF ANY COMPANY MAY TRADE AT ANY TIME. THE INFORMATION AND OPINIONS PROVIDED HEREIN SHOULD NOT BE TAKEN AS SPECIFIC ADVICE ON THE MERITS OF ANY INVESTMENT DECISION. INVESTORS SHOULD MAKE THEIR OWN INVESTIGATION AND DECISIONS REGARDING THE PROSPECTS OF ANY COMPANY DISCUSSED HEREIN BASED ON SUCH INVESTORS' OWN REVIEW OF PUBLICLY AVAILABLE INFORMATION AND SHOULD NOT RELY ON THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN. | No statement or expression of opinion, or any other matter herein, directly or indirectly, is an offer or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell the securities or financial instruments mentioned. | Any projections, market outlooks or estimates herein are forward looking statements and are inherently unreliable. They are based upon certain assumptions and should not be construed to be indicative of the actual events that will occur. Other events that were not taken into account may occur and may significantly affect the returns or performance of the securities discussed herein. The information provided herein is based on matters as they exist as of the date of preparation and not as of any future date, and the publisher undertakes no obligation to correct, update or revise the information in this document or to otherwise provide any additional material. | The publisher, its affiliates, and clients of the publisher or its affiliates may currently have long or short positions in the securities of the companies mentioned herein, or may have such a position in the future (and therefore may profit from fluctuations in the trading price of the securities). To the extent such persons do have such positions, there is no guarantee that such persons will maintain such positions. | Neither the publisher nor any of its affiliates accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of the information contained herein. | Some of the links in this newsletter are affiliate links. This means that if you click on the link and purchase the item, we will receive an affiliate commission at no extra cost to you. All opinions remain our own. | By using the Site or any affiliated social media account, you are indicating your consent and agreement to this disclaimer. Unauthorized reproduction of this newsletter or its contents by photocopy, facsimile or any other means is illegal and punishable by law. |
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