How I Cracked the Code on Earnings Trades (And How You Can Too)
October 24, 2024 | Read Online | | | | Don Kaufman here. | Three weeks after graduating college, I found myself on the chaotic trading floor of the Chicago Board Options Exchange. | Six weeks later, I was navigating one of the most volatile markets in history, with the VIX hitting 40 during the Long-Term Capital Management collapse. | But here's what really changed my perspective on trading forever... | After helping build thinkorswim from the ground up and eventually selling to TD Ameritrade… | I had unprecedented access to something most traders never see: | The complete trading patterns of hundreds of thousands of retail investors. | I built and ran education for both firms and, more importantly, had access to the largest retail order flow in the industry. | Watching order flow meant I had access to everything traders were doing. We studied billions in trades, analyzing exactly what separated the winners from the losers. | What I discovered about trading during earnings seasons shocked me... | Most traders believe that earnings are too scary, too volatile, or too unpredictable to trade successfully. | They've been told to wait until after earnings or to avoid trading altogether during these times. | But I've learned that earnings present one of the most reliable and predictable opportunities in the market. | These predictable price movements around earnings have created opportunities that most retail traders completely miss. | What if you could know days, weeks, or even months in advance exactly when you're going to take a trade? | Not only that, but what if the timing and the option setup were like clockwork? | There's a specific way to play these "earnings flips" that institutional traders have kept quiet about for years. | I don't care if the earnings are good or bad, or how the market reacts—no one can predict that anyway. | I don't need to know what the institutions are expecting. | I just follow my earnings flip criteria to know which earnings are opportunities and which ones are traps. | After leaving TD Ameritrade in 2015, I made it my mission to bring institutional-level trading insights to everyday traders. | That's why I founded TheoTrade, and why I'm now pulling back the curtain on one of the most reliable patterns I've observed across decades of earnings seasons. | Want to see exactly how these "earnings flips" work? | | To your success, | Don Kaufman |
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