The Way the Math Works Out Pennsylvania's 19 electoral votes are critical this November. The way the math works out, neither Trump nor Harris has a realistic path to the presidency without that state. Or at least not as things stand now. Today, the election betting markets put Trump ahead by exactly 1% – 50.5% to 49.5% – in Pennsylvania. The average of the major polls gives Harris an advantage of the same 1% margin in Pennsylvania – 49% to 48%. But whether we're looking at the betting markets or the polls, we get a similar story: With 69 days until November 5, the race is far too close to call in the only state that actually matters. It might sound trite to say that every vote counts. Well, Pennsylvania has 8.7 million registered voters. A 1% margin means 87,000 voters. So, while it's unlikely that the selection of our next president literally comes down to a single vote, we're still talking about a very small margin here. And there's still plenty of time for the wheels to fall off of an already wobbly economy. As I wrote earlier this week, the Federal Reserve is set to cut rates next month, but we should be careful what we wish for. The Fed doesn't cut interest rates when everything is hunky-dory. It cuts rates when it's concerned. And it only cuts aggressively when it's really concerned. The job market hasn't shown signs of breaking down just yet. But we're definitely starting to see cracks forming. Just this month, we've seen significant layoffs in companies as diverse as CarMax (KMX), General Motors (GM), Mastercard (MA), Cisco Systems (CSCO), and Paramount Global (PARA), among others. And earlier this year, Dell (DELL), Intel (INTC), and Tesla (TSLA) laid off 20%, 15%, and 10% of their workforces, respectively. So, what does any of this have to do with the election? Everything. In a razor-thin contest, even a slight change in sentiment can swing the results and trigger a major election shock. And countless sparks could trigger that shift… We're less than two weeks away from the big debate… And the Democrats are clearly not done using the legal process to attempt to defeat Trump… We're living in a gas-soaked pit of kindling. That's why I've researched what could be the next big election shock to slam into us. What I discovered… what I'm predicting now… goes contrary to anything the stock markets are preparing for. So I recorded a video to share the details with you… and to give you the tools you need to not only survive, but thrive… despite what's coming. Click here to watch now. To life, liberty and the pursuit of wealth, |
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