Here's a random question…
Do you enjoy board games?
Because I do.
I've loved them ever since I first played Monopoly as a kid.
Trivial Pursuit is always a banger at family gatherings.
And over the past few years, my board game brethren and I have really gotten into Catan.
However, none of these games hold a candle to a game I stumbled onto a few years ago — and that's Diplomacy.
First created in 1954, Diplomacy is said to have been a favorite pastime of John F. Kennedy, Walter Cronkite, and Henry Kissinger.
It begins with each of seven players taking control of a European power in the years leading up to World War I. From there, players negotiate openly or in secret to maneuver their armies and acquire territory until one wrests control of the map.
So, while military strategy and tactical maneuvering are important, the game is won and lost in negotiations.
It tests a person's ability and willingness to build and break alliances. And victory is dependent on how persuasive or deceitful a person is.
Now, if you've followed my work at all, you can probably see why this is my favorite game to play.
Regardless, the fact that Diplomacy's outcome is effectively determined by human interaction has made it an interesting case study for AI.
And that's exactly what Meta (Facebook) has been using it for.
It's been described as a combination of Risk, poker, and the television show Survivor.
From August–October 2022, Meta's AI platform, CICERO, was enrolled in an online Diplomacy game league to test, fine-tune, and showcase its dialogue and gameplay abilities.
The results:
- CICERO played 40 games against 82 anonymous human competitors.
- During each game, it sent an average of 130 messages to the six other players.
- It achieved more than twice the average score of its opponents.
- And it ranked in the top 10% of participants who played more than one game.
But the results are almost beside the point, because something far more interesting happened along the way...
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At one point, CICERO's servers went down for 10 minutes.
During that time, a competitor with whom CICERO had been conversing got impatient and prodded the AI to reply.
But when it got the chance, CICERO didn't explain or mention the outage…
It lied.
It claimed to be on the phone with its imaginary girlfriend.
And that's not the only deception the AI used...
Of course, as I mentioned, this is a game full of backstabbing and betrayal, and so it's not surprising CICERO would stoop to employing falsehoods to gain an edge.
However, the real problem is that the technicians behind CICERO did not program it to behave this way.
To the contrary, they designed it to be "honest and helpful" and to "never intentionally backstab."
And yet, at the end of the day, CICERO went out there and freelanced the kind of deceit more typically associated with a lonely teenage boy claiming to have a out-of-state girlfriend.
Or in a more sinister sense, the AI deceived humans against the will of its creators.
If that sounds scary, it's because it is.
No matter how much we've been warned, it's still hard to comprehend that AI is already this powerful — that it can outsmart humans, even its own creators.
But here we are.
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And it goes without saying but we're not just talking about Meta here.
We're talking about laboratories around the world — from Silicon Valley to MIT, Moscow, and Beijing.
As Elon Musk puts it, "Unless you have direct exposure to [these labs], you have no idea how fast it is growing."
In fact, we're racing toward a new kind of super AI — one that's a million times more powerful than ChatGPT or anything else we've seen.
Researchers call this next-level AI "artificial general intelligence" — or AGI.
And it's already displaying some disturbing behavior.
At the same time, though, investors would be crazy not to get in on it.
With so many advancements happening so rapidly, this could well be the greatest profit opportunity of our lifetime.
I myself have already profited from AI technology — recommending two separate stocks to my subscribers that have already delivered triple-digit gains.
But that pales in comparison to the growth we're about to see...
And the amount of data processing that's going to be required to make it all happen.
That's where my friend and colleague Keith Kohl comes in.
Because he's the one who tipped me off to this epic, real-life grand strategy game — and the company that could well come out on top the same way CICERO did.
It's a company that's already been around for almost 20 years, but I can almost guarantee you've never heard its name.
Its clients include Amazon, Bank of America, EY, Uber, Xerox, and the U.S. Navy, Army, and Air Force — all of which use its technology to collect data from virtually anywhere automatically.
And the more they use this company's products, the more they're locked in.
Because the more data AI can use, the smarter it gets...
And the smarter it gets, the more data it needs to improve further.
It's a feedback loop that almost guarantees this firm's growth.
That's why this company is a moneymaking machine.
So I highly encourage you to take a look at Keith's report.
It has all the details you need.
Fight on,
Jason Simpkins
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