Published By Banyan Hill Publishing | | | | Published By Banyan Hill Publishing | | | | A Future Recession: What Are the Odds? By Charles Sizemore
Chief Editor, The Banyan Edge | Banyan Nation, Despite the Federal Reserve’s recent pause on rate hikes, inflation is still an ongoing battle.
I believe we’re still in for a recession.
Mike Carr has dubbed it “the most anticipated recession in history.”
And anticipated is the right word here. It can simply mean expected … or it can also mean hoped for.
Of course, we wouldn’t normally hope for a recession. But given that inflation stubbornly refuses to die — and that the tight labor market is partially driving the problem — a mild recession could be the answer.
A recession that was just deep enough to normalize the labor market could actually neutralize inflation. What Are the Odds? Economic data continues to trickle in.
This past week, the Chicago Fed published its National Activity Index. The index is made up of a broad swath of data, including manufacturing production, construction and an assortment of payroll and employment gauges.
This index is a decent quick-and-dirty measure of what the economy is doing today.
But it’s a little tricky, so hear me out. A “zero” reading here implies that the economy is growing at a normal, average rate.
A reading above zero means that the economy is growing at an above average rate, and a reading below zero means that the economy is growing at a below average rate (and possibly even shrinking).
The Chicago Fed published the May results this past week, and they point to a general cooling.  (Click here to view larger image.) Over the past year, we’ve seen five months with above average growth and seven months below average.
This can change quickly. As I noted last week, the leading economic indicators have been pointing lower for a year now.
We’ll get that recession when we get that recession, I suppose. But in the meantime, we still have portfolios to manage.
Let’s take a look at what the Edge team had to say about the market this week. | | | If China’s authoritarian government were to successfully attack this building, it could topple $37 trillion of the global economy, plummet the United States into a crippling depression and transform the United States into what the director of the FBI describes as a Cold War-era East Germany.
It’s recommended that every American take a few moments to view this interview. It features a decorated U.S. Air Force veteran who has advised the Pentagon, DARPA and NATO. He has teamed up with a leading economist to warn Americans of the dire threats each of us faces in the months ahead to our national and financial security. | | | - How to Invest in the $150 Trillion Future of AI
$150 trillion is a lot of money. The size of the world economy today is “only” around $96 trillion. Yet the power of artificial intelligence could be set to boost global output by $150 trillion over the coming years.
That’s great … but what exactly is AI, and how does it actually work? Let’s break it down.
- NEXT Grand Slam Home Run Stock?
Few industries would seem more “low tech” than farming. Farming is a profession that dates back 12,000 years, for crying out loud. And it hasn’t changed all that much over the centuries. Yet artificial intelligence is about to remake America’s farms into the high-tech food production centers of the future.
- Turning Mistakes Into Money
Microcaps are companies that have market caps less than $500 million, too small for most money managers to invest in. And since professionals have no interest in them, Wall Street analysts don’t follow them.
That’s where we find the greatest opportunities. Because most of the stocks are mispriced … such as this beauty that was underpriced by a full $300 million.
- Waking Up to a Factor Zoo
The truth is, most stock factors won't help you beat the market. But the Green Zone Power Ratings system is an investing tool that can actually help you invest smarter. It cuts through all the factor noise to help you determine which assets are worth buying and which ones to sell.
- Buy Nice or Lose Twice
The Green Zone Power Ratings system combines six unique factors to rate stocks, and find you the best investments in the current market. According to Adam O’Dell’s research, stocks rating 80 or higher on this system have historically gone on to beat the overall market’s return by 3X!
| | | Stay Tuned for the Monday Pod! 🎧  We’ve been writing for months now about AI as a solution to inflation, the labor shortage and an overall slowdown in productivity.
Well, Amber Lancaster will be joining me on Monday’s Banyan Edge Podcast episode to talk about it!
Amber and Ian King have put together a landmark American AI Wealth Summit, in which they will outline exactly how big the opportunity is in AI, as well as sharing Ian’s No. 1 AI stock pick for the next five years…
You can go ahead and RSVP for Ian's big AI event here. Then tune in Monday to hear about the revolution unfolding from Amber!
You won’t want to miss this one! If you have any questions about AI, send them in at BanyanEdge@BanyanHill.com.
Until next week,
Charles Sizemore
Chief Editor, The Banyan Edge | | | Many at the highest levels of U.S. intelligence are starting to fear Xi Jinping — the authoritarian leader of the People’s Republic of China — could be getting dangerously close to crossing the ultimate red line. Attacking what is being referred to as “America’s single point of failure.”
It’s just one of the startling conclusions to come to light in this new report. You can see it for yourself right here. | | | Get The Banyan Hill App And start experiencing that "total wealth" freedom for yourself. | | | (c) 2023 Banyan Hill Publishing. All Rights Reserved. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. This Newsletter may only be used pursuant to the subscription agreement. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, (electronic or otherwise) in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of Banyan Hill Publishing. P.O. Box 8378, Delray Beach, FL 33482. (TEL: 866-584-4096) Legal Notice
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