Selasa, 09 Februari 2021

The chain effect of the market

Hey everybody,

Have you ever heard of Nutella's Law?

It says that anything and everything you can cover in Nutella becomes more delicious.

Wait, that can't be what I meant to talk about.

Oh right, now I remember Newton's Laws.

Those you probably do know:

  • An object at rest stays at rest, an object in motion remains in motion
  • The more force you apply to something, the faster it moves
  • Every action has an equal and opposite reaction

Now, those are laws for motion, which are not to be confused with Newton's law for looking amazing and having great hair, which he never ever broke…
Okay, now that the silliness is out of the way, I wanted to make the point that I think we see Newton's laws happen in the market all the time.

First of all, stocks don't just move, right?

Any time a stock moves, especially if it moves in a major way, a force has acted upon it.

It could be a bad earnings call, a great technological advancement, some hedge fund announcing it bought new shares, but whatever it is, if you see a gain or loss of more than a couple of percent, there's usually a pretty clear reason.

And like Newton's second law, the bigger the force that acts upon it, the better. The more movement you're going to see.

We saw that yesterday with the Tesla news.

If you didn't hear, news broke early Monday morning that Tesla had bought $1.5 billion in bitcoin in January, and is planning to accept the crypto king as payment in the near future.

That shot the price of bitcoin and Tesla up over 10% early in the day, though Tesla trailed lower throughout the afternoon.But there was another phenomenon that was less discussed: crpytos across the board were up.
Congratulations, Polkadot owners!
Typically, you might think the cryptocurrency market is a zero-sum game.

But that doesn't seem to be the case right now.

The market may one day turn more competitive, but right now we're in the middle of a crypto craze, and news like the Tesla deal only serve to legitimize the whole market more.

Of course, you would think bitcoin climbing up over $40k would do that pretty effectively, but still, these cryptos are experiencing a lot of growth all at the same time.

Events like these remind us:

Studying that chain reaction is critical, it's super important to be aware of these relationships.

Some companies tend to have opposite reactions. Tesla and Ford. Qualcomm and Intel. These offer opportunities called "pair trades" where you can call one and short the other.

Those chain reactions offer us unique opportunities at specific trades, and they are worth learning about.

Of course, you probably didn't have a chance to get in this Tesla and bitcoin news because you aren't psychic. But if you study you can begin to predict these chain reactions. It might not take as long as you think.

Last night, Markay and I got together to show you how Markay plans her day, and she talked about 36 of the hottest stocks in 30 minutes. You can catch a replay here.

The more studying you do, the more prepared you will be when an opportunity falls in your lap. So keep working hard and have a terrific Tuesday!

Love the heck outta you,

Rob Booker
The Woodlands, TX
Leveraged trading in foreign currency or off-exchange products on margin carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. We advise you to carefully consider whether trading is appropriate for you based on your personal circumstances. You may lose more than you invest. We recommend that you seek independent advice and ensure you fully understand the risks involved before trading. The information on this website is intended as educational in nature and we do not recommend that you buy or sell any specific financial instrument.
 
 
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