I highlighted Transocean in an article three weeks ago after its share price tripled in value in less than a month. Last week, it tacked on another 30% in a single day! Despite its recent surge in value, RIG is still well below where it was trading a few years ago. That's because it can't make money unless oil prices are above $60 a barrel. Transocean is not profitable and has not been for the past couple of years. It has a profit margin of negative 17%, a negative return on equity, and its revenue is shrinking. On paper, Transocean appears to be a little company in big trouble. Barring a sudden spike in oil prices it will remain unprofitable this year, too. Small and Short Despite those shortcomings, someone is buying a lot of the stock. On January 27, more than 140 million shares of RIG changed hands. That is more than five times its average daily trading volume of 27 million shares. This is where our story comes full circle. The same dynamic that has propelled GameStop and a handful of other troubled companies higher could be at work with Transocean. Read This Story: Casino Capitalism: How to Play to Win What Transocean has in its favor at the moment is that it is a small-cap stock with high short interest. That means it is a viable candidate for a "short squeeze", which occurs when short sellers must buy the stock to meet margin calls on their positions. That is what propelled GameStop into the stratosphere last week. The approach used to drive up the share price of GameStop can be easily replicated with other companies. If that is what is happening with RIG, then it could rise considerably higher in the weeks to come. That may explain why the call options on RIG are trading at a very high "implied volatility," which reflects how much potential price change there may be in a stock over the life of the option. If RIG jumps in value, some of those call options could easily double or triple in price. Of course, there is considerable risk in speculating on nearly bankrupt companies. Eventually, some of them go under leaving worthless stock (and options) in their wake. It is easy to identify the companies that are vulnerable to a short squeeze. However, it is considerably more difficult to figure out which ones won't go bankrupt and leave a lot of investors owning worthless stock. If you're looking for rock-solid stocks without the speculative risk, I suggest you take a look at our new report: "5 Red Hot Stocks to Own in 2021." In this report, we provide the names and ticker symbols of high-quality growth stocks that are poised to soar this year. Click here for your copy. |
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