Timing the Small Cap Effect Strong performance doesn't make investing in small caps easy. After all, small caps can underperform for decades, making them a difficult asset class to hold. However, I also believe in taking what the market gives you. You have to recognize when some strategies work - and when they don't. Today, I see three major factors driving demand for higher-risk, higher-reward small caps. First, megacap technology stocks have been the market leaders for the past few years. These widely owned stocks will eventually run out of steam. In contrast, small cap stocks have been both under-owned and undervalued for the past decade. Second, the ranks of small cap stocks include many cyclical industries, like energy, materials and banking. Earnings in these industries were hit much harder than others during the pandemic. With the U.S. economy recovering, these stocks may lead the market in the rebound. Third, small cap stocks may have surged in recent weeks on rising investor speculation. And it's not just about GameStop. Investors are betting that a stimulus-friendly Biden administration, a dovish Federal Reserve and broad coronavirus vaccine deployment will boost small cap stocks in 2021. How to Profit From the Small Cap Effect My favorite way to profit from soaring U.S. small cap stocks is through the iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF (NYSE: IWO). This ETF tracks a market-cap-weighted index of U.S. small cap growth stocks. So why do I prefer the Russell 2000 Growth ETF over its rivals? Small caps tend to outperform during periods of strong economic growth. And growth strategies tend to outperform value strategies during times like this as well. Let me leave you with this takeaway... If you invest only in small cap stocks, you will outperform the S&P 500 over the long term. The downside of this "one size fits all" strategy is that there are long periods when small caps underperform. But in bullish years, small cap stocks can shoot the lights out. The combination of fiscal and monetary stimulus and a robust economic rebound makes 2021 a good time to bet big on small cap growth stocks. All investment strategies have their seasons. And today's investment season is U.S. small cap stocks. Good investing, Nicholas |
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