Technical Update: My Concern for the Markets in Three Charts Dear Money & Crisis Reader, We’ve already done one technical update this week, found here. But given the sell-off yesterday, we need another one as we go into the weekend. The market sold off hard yesterday. Many market leaders fell to test their trendline. As such, today is extremely important for stocks. We need to see the markets maintain their bull market trendlines… or we might see a more significant correction. I’m watching three charts in particular: - Microsoft (MSFT)
- Shopify (SHOP)
- US Dollar ($USD)
Let’s discuss those now. #1: Microsoft Can Move the Market Microsoft (MSFT) is the single largest weighted company in the S&P 500, accounting for 5.7% of the total market index. This means that MSFT is extremely important for the overall market’s moves. MSFT shares fell to test their trendline yesterday. We NEED to hold here or at the very least begin to consolidate, or things could start to get ugly fast. #2: Detecting “Risk On vs. Risk Off” Via Shopify Shopify (SHOP) is a momentum darling and a great indicator for “risk on vs. risk off.” Indeed, SHOP actually bottomed March 18, well before the overall market’s bottom on March 23. SHOP shares also fell to test their bull market trendline yesterday. Here again, we need to see this level hold or at least slow the pace of collapse, or the markets could be heading for an UGLY week next week. |
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