Chinese Influence is Inevitable Admiral Philip Davidson, chief of the US Indo-Pacific Command, echoes its insights. He ascribes Chinese power in the region to intellectual property theft, intimidation, and corruption rather than to an economy that has grown 20-fold in 40 years through free zones, capitalism, and new technology. (Yes the Chinese have mimicked the US and copied our inventions but this is good not bad, and nearly identical to the US ascent against Europe in the 19th century.) Davidson declared yesterday in a speech in Australia that the US is "all in" to resist growing Chinese influence in the South China Seas. Chinese influence in the South China Seas is as inevitable as US influence in the Gulf of Mexico. Admiral Davidson's insistence on flaunting American naval power in the region is needlessly provocative and gratuitous. Last year in the academic journal Humanitas, Villanova political science professor Lowell Gustafson explained the real "trap" depicted by Thucydides in his account of the Peloponnesian wars. "It may be that great powers do indeed desire to rule, but they learn to restrain themselves by accurate calculation of their own power and that of others. They do not engage in wishful thinking and grandiosity. Pluralism, not domination, is the proper end of power politics since power is always distributed to some degree. The trap that Thucydides worries about is not a rear-end collision, but that a great power deludes itself into seeking domination of all others." Both China and the US should take note. Gustafson continues: "Graham Allison and American policy makers need to be as self-reflective about America as they are about the rise of China. "If there is to be real American greatness it needs to be drawn from the vision of an international system of free independent nations who peacefully trade with each other, learn from each other's cultures, and show restraint." My rule is that real threats to the US come from failed states with nothing to lose not from an ascendant country such as China with huge trading interests around the globe. If we didn't constantly harass the Chinese over their Uighur Islamist problem (over 1,000 incidents; 500 dead), they might well be our allies against real terrorist threats. The best strategy for American investors is to support capitalist companies in China not trumpery in the South China seas. Regards, George Gilder Editor, Gilder's Daily Prophecy |
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