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Hey everyone, |
Nobody's getting hyped about boring stocks, but here we are, launching our "Boring Investments" series anyway. |
We're breaking down the investments that could actually move the needle in 2026. Give it a read, then hit the poll at the end and tell us if we're onto something. |
Here's a question nobody's asking: what happens when the AI story hits a wall? |
Not saying it will. |
But 2026 might be the year we find out. And if you're only invested in tech, you need to read this. |
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The AI Monetization Problem |
71% of companies can't figure out how to make money from AI. That's from a global survey of 614 CFOs. Think about that for a second. |
Companies are spending $2 trillion on AI in 2026. But most can't turn it into profit. MIT found that 95% of businesses using AI haven't seen enough improvement in profitability or cash flow to justify the costs. |
Even ChatGPT, with 800 million weekly users, isn't profitable. And won't be for years. |
Here's why: AI burns electricity. One ChatGPT query uses 0.34 watt-hours of energy, way more than a Google search. Multiply that by millions of queries, and the power bill gets ridiculous fast. |
This creates a problem. If companies can't monetize AI, they'll eventually cut spending. And when that happens, tech stocks, which are already trading at 24.99x forward earnings for the S&P 500, could face a serious correction. |
But here's the thing: even if AI spending slows, the infrastructure is already being built. Data centers still need power. Chips still need materials. And that's where commodities come in. |
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The Real Winners: Selling Picks and Shovels |
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Remember the gold rush? The people who made the most money weren't the miners. They were the ones selling tools. |
Same thing here. Tech companies might struggle to profit from AI. But the companies providing the raw materials? They're positioned to win either way. |
Uranium: The Nuclear Renaissance |
AI data centers need 80-100 gigawatts of new electricity generation per year in the U.S. alone. That's equivalent to 80-100 nuclear plants. |
Solar won't cut it. You'd need to cover 759,000 to 957,000 acres with solar panels every year just to keep up. That's bigger than Rhode Island. |
Nuclear makes sense. It runs 24/7. It's clean. And small modular reactors can be deployed quickly—even on-site at data centers. |
The uranium play: Global X Uranium ETF (URA) and Sprott Uranium Miners ETF (URNM) both outperformed the S&P 500 in 2025. With nuclear demand accelerating, this trend looks sustainable. |
Copper: The Invisible Infrastructure |
Every AI server needs copper. Every power line needs copper. Every EV needs copper. |
Copper prices surged 44.9% in 2025. Global X Copper Miners ETF (COPX) jumped 98.3%. |
This isn't hype. It's math. More data centers plus more electric infrastructure equals more copper demand. And supply isn't keeping pace. |
LNG: The Bridge Fuel |
Here's something interesting: some data centers are installing gas turbines on-site to generate their own power. They're tired of waiting years for grid connections. |
This creates steady demand for natural gas producers and pipeline operators: |
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Utilities are also replacing old coal plants with natural gas. It's cleaner than coal, more reliable than renewables, and available right now. |
Note on crude oil: OPEC is keeping oil prices suppressed. Don't expect energy stocks tied to crude to rally much in 2026 unless geopolitical tensions spike dramatically. |
| | | | Who actually captures the most value from the AI buildout? | |
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Precious Metals: The Fed's Unintended Gift |
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Gold gained about 70% in 2025. Silver was even better. Platinum? Up over 100%. |
Why? Two reasons. |
First: Fed rate cuts. The Fed expects two 25-basis-point cuts in 2026. Lower rates make cash less attractive. Gold pays 2-4% through leasing arrangements—competitive with bonds, but with upside if prices rise. |
Second: inflation hedge. Even though consumer inflation expectations are "only" 3.2% for 2026, precious metals are pricing in something else. Maybe currency concerns. Maybe geopolitical risk. Maybe just smart money hedging concentrated tech exposure. |
From December 10, 2025 (the last Fed meeting) through year-end: |
Gold: +7% Silver: +20.7% Platinum: +44.5%
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The Concentration Risk Everyone Ignores |
Look at the top 10 companies in the S&P 500. Nine are tech. They represent 37.65% of the entire index. |
The S&P 500 Technology Sector alone is 34.46% of the index. |
When one sector dominates this much, the whole market becomes dependent on that sector's performance. If AI disappoints, there's nowhere to hide in a traditional index fund. |
The commodity alternative offers diversification. Uranium miners, copper producers, and precious metals don't move in lockstep with tech. They respond to different fundamentals. |
Bank of America's chief investment strategist Michael Hartnett says it directly: "Trump's policy of political populism and inflationary growth will lead to a commodity boom that outpaces bonds next year." |
Metals, natural resource stocks, and Latin American equities (commodity proxies) are already breaking out. |
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How to Position for 2026 |
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You don't have to choose between tech and commodities. But you do need balance. |
If you're heavy in tech: Add uranium, copper, or precious metals for diversification. |
If you want income: Natural gas pipelines like Energy Transfer $ET ( ▼ 0.3% ) pay solid dividends while benefiting from AI infrastructure demand. |
If you're worried about valuations: Commodity producers trade at much cheaper multiples than tech while offering exposure to the same AI buildout theme. |
If you want a hedge: Gold and silver have proven their worth as portfolio insurance during uncertain times. |
Weiss' gold expert Sean Brodrick found five companies that he believes could deliver explosive gains from gold surge.* |
The Bottom Line |
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2026 might be the year commodity stocks outperform tech. |
Not because tech fails, but because commodities are solving the infrastructure bottleneck that tech created. |
AI needs power. Power needs uranium and natural gas. Infrastructure needs copper. Uncertainty drives precious metals. |
These aren't random picks. They're connected to the same mega-trend driving tech higher—but with better valuations and less concentration risk. |
The gold rush might be in AI. But the real money could be in selling the picks and shovels. |
S&P 500 forecast for year-end 2026: 7,800-8,000 |
Stay informed. Stay diversified. And remember, sometimes the best tech play isn't a tech stock. |
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P.S. My silver position has doubled in value — up 102.8% so far, and I believe it won't end. |
Curious where you stand after this first issue ๐
Vote in the poll and tell me: what's your favorite "boring" investment right now? |
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| | | | Quick check — where do you actually stand after this issue? | |
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions. |
Items marked with an asterisk (*) are promotional and help support this newsletter at no cost to readers. |
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