The Labor Market Isn't Slowing—It's Breaking

Dear Reader

The mainstream media keeps lying about the economy.

"Strong and resilient." "Inflation is the real risk." "Labor market remains tight."

All garbage.

The labor market isn't slowing—it's breaking—October showed negative 105,000 jobs, unemployment jumped to 4.6% (highest in four years), and historically, when unemployment rises 1%+ from cycle lows without a recession
Most "jobs" are fiat jobs that disappear in downturns—just like fiat currency, these jobs exist only because someone says they do, not because they create real value, and when the economy contracts, these fake jobs evaporate while business owners and entrepreneurs survive.
Trump's picking between Hassett and Warsh but both paths lead to rate cuts—Hassett would cut faster, Warsh would delay then cut with credibility, but either way the Fed is transitioning away from tight money because the economy is rolling over, not staying strong.

The latest jobs report just destroyed that narrative. The labor market isn't slowing. It's breaking.

And when it breaks, most people panic. Because they have jobs, not businesses. They trade time for fake money. They depend on someone else for their paycheck.

That's a dangerous position. Let me explain why.

The Numbers Don't Lie

November payrolls: 64,000 jobs. Media celebrated.

But here's what they didn't tell you.

October was revised to negative 105,000 jobs. That's the third negative print in six months. August? Revised down again.

This isn't noise. It's a pattern.

Unemployment hit 4.6%. Highest in four years. The Fed expected it to peak at 4.5%. We just blew past that.

Here's the scary part: historically, when unemployment rises 1% or more from its low, the economy enters recession. Every single time since the 1940s.

No exceptions.

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The Revisions Tell the Truth

Initial job numbers are guesses. Revisions are reality.

And the revisions are ugly.

Month after month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics quietly admits the economy was weaker than reported. Jobs that supposedly existed? Didn't. Growth that looked positive? Wasn't.

Even Jerome Powell admitted payrolls might be overstating job growth by 60,000 jobs per month.

Think about that. The labor market's been materially weaker all year than the headlines suggested.

But nobody wants to admit it.

Transportation Jobs Are Flashing Red

Want to know if the economy's really slowing? Watch transportation and warehousing.

These jobs don't exist unless goods are moving. They don't grow unless people are buying.

Latest report? Transportation jobs fell 18,000.

That's not a rounding error. That's a warning.

When fewer goods are being shipped and stored, demand is dying. The economy is rolling over.

Oil prices confirm it. Crude fell below $55 per barrel. Lowest since early 2021.

Oil doesn't collapse when the economy's overheating. It collapses when consumption is slowing.

The Hassett vs. Warsh Show

Meanwhile, Trump's picking the next Fed chairman. Everyone's talking about it.

Kevin Hassett versus Kevin Warsh. The two Kevins.

Hassett's Trump's guy. Loyal. Wants lower rates. Markets loved him at first. His odds hit 80%.

Then people started worrying. Too close to Trump. Might look like a puppet.

Enter Warsh. Former Fed governor. Wall Street likes him. More hawkish. More "credible."

As of this morning, Warsh is at 46%, Hassett at 39%.

Here's what matters: both will cut rates. Eventually.

Hassett would cut faster. Warsh would wait, then cut with less resistance.

Either way, rates are going lower. The economy's forcing it.

Why This Matters to You

Most people think a job equals security.

It doesn't.

Your job is fiat employment. It exists because someone says it does. Not because it creates real value.

Just like fiat currency. The dollar only has value because the government says so. Not because it's backed by gold or anything real.

Fiat jobs work the same way.

When the economy's good, companies hire. When it turns bad, they fire. Your "security" vanishes overnight.

I learned this from Rich Dad. He taught me the difference between having a job and owning assets.

Employees get paychecks. Until they don't.

Business owners and investors create income streams. Those don't disappear as easily.

The Unemployed Should Start Businesses

Here's the uncensored truth about rising unemployment.

If you're unemployed, you've got a choice.

Option one: Keep looking for another fiat job. Pray someone hires you. Hope it lasts.

Option two: Start something yourself.

I'm not talking about raising millions in venture capital. I'm talking about DIY jobs. Small businesses. Side hustles that can grow.

Start a service business. Consulting. Freelancing. Something you can do today with skills you already have. Just go to Upwork and market your skills. Takes 10 minutes and won't cost you a mint.

Build it up gradually. Reinvest profits. Grow slowly but surely.

This is real entrepreneurship. Not sexy. Not easy. But it works.

And here's the thing: when you own a business, you control your income. When you have a job, someone else controls it.

Big difference.

Why I Never Worry About Unemployment

I don't have a job. Haven't had one in decades.

I own businesses. I own real estate. I own assets that generate cash flow.

When unemployment rises, I don't panic. Because my income doesn't depend on one employer.

I've got multiple streams. Multiple businesses. Multiple properties.

One stream dries up? I've got others.

That's financial intelligence. That's what Rich Dad taught me.

Most people have one income source. Their job. If that disappears, they're screwed.

That's not security. That's vulnerability.

The Coming Transition

The economy is rolling over. The labor market is breaking. The Fed will cut rates eventually.

Whether it's Hassett cutting fast or Warsh cutting slow doesn't really matter.

What matters is understanding that fiat jobs are disappearing. And they're not coming back the same way.

AI is replacing workers. Automation is accelerating. Companies are getting leaner.

Your job probably isn't as safe as you think.

So what do you do?

Start building something on the side. Now. While you still have that paycheck.

Use your evenings and weekends. Learn new skills. Start small. Build gradually.

Don't wait until you're unemployed and desperate.

The Bottom Line

The labor market is breaking. Unemployment is rising. Recessions follow this pattern every time.

Most people will panic because they depend on jobs—fiat employment that can vanish overnight.

Smart people will use this as a wake-up call.

Start building real assets. Real businesses. Real income streams that you control.

Stop trading time for money. Start building systems that work without you.

Trump's picking between two Kevins. Both will eventually cut rates. The economy is forcing them to.

But that won't save your job. Only you can do that.

By not having a job at all. By building something real instead.

The unemployed shouldn't be looking for another fake job. They should be building their own business. Starting DIY. Growing it up.

That's real security. That's real wealth.

Everything else is just waiting for someone to fire you.

Wake up. Start building. Protect yourself.

Kiyosaki Unsensored

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