Sat, Dec 20 - 5:30 PM Going through the services -- year-end report cards. Starting with 48-Hour Cashflow. STAA still on my mind. System flagged it. Premium was there. Would’ve expired worthless today for full profit. I exited early. Overthought it. Took myself out of a winning trade. Be great if I could use this skill to actually get me out of bad trades. Focus on the task Josh. Launched this back in February. The edge is selling premium on overpriced options -- our systems flag stocks under $50 using two volatility triggers. These aren’t heavily followed names. Wider bid/ask spreads. In by Wednesday. Out by Friday. 48 hours of risk, rest of the week in cash. 40 wins. 9 losses. Win Rate: 81%. Okay. That’s where we should be. Now the losses. SMCI. Right. Stepped in front of that one. Didn’t follow our own parameters. Too much risk for too little premium. ASPN. Forced that trade right when I launched. Bonus trade for subscribers. Trying too hard. That one led to refund requests. Great way to start a new service Josh. Can’t blame them though. Trading is tough. Nobody wants to start with a loss. LUNR. Wrong date on the moon landing. Got in front of an event that wasn’t even happening yet. IREN. Still working on that one. GRRR. Forgot about that one. Kept triggering for like 6 weeks straight. Great trade. Oh yeah... had a subscriber complain. Didn’t like GRRR. Told me to recommend something else. Okay. Losses are 3x bigger than wins. One bad week can wipe out a month of returns. But we win 8 times out of 10. Net profit: $186. $186. Almost a full year and I’m looking at $186. Hang on. $186 on $595 deployed capital. Return on capital: 26%. Same money in a savings account? $26 for the year. 6x what the bank would’ve paid. S&P 500 did +15%. Beat the index with one trade a week. 48 hours of risk. Looking back at the ugly ones -- SMCI, ASPN, LUNR -- those weren’t system failures. Those were me not following the system. If I stay out of my own way, returns get better. Probably being too critical. But someone has to be. This is a ruthless business. The system works. Edge is still there. I keep getting in the way. Grade: B+ About This Journal: Every entry documents what really happens at my desk. The losses, wins, and everything between. Josh Belanger's results are not typical and are not a guarantee of your success. Josh is an experienced investor and your results will vary depending on education, work experience, and background. Josh does not personally participate in every investment alert he provides. Due to sensitivity of financial information, we do not know or track the typical results of our students. Josh’ strategies may not always be accurate, and his investments may not always be profitable. They could result in a loss of an entire investment. We cannot guarantee that you will make money or that you will be successful if you employ his trading strategies specifically or generally. Consequently, your results may significantly vary from his. We do not give investment, tax, or other professional advice. Reference to specific securities should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or hold that security. Specific securities are mentioned for informational purposes only. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, investment strategy, or individual’s investment does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
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Sabtu, 20 Desember 2025
Giving 48-Hour Cashflow a Grade
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