| TQ Evening Briefing | Rates reminded markets who's in charge. Equities held, AI led, and volatility cleared just in time for the close. | | | | | | Not a rally, not a retreat. Markets leaned risk-on into the close, but conviction stayed selective. | The Dow added, the S&P 500 gained too, and the Nasdaq led as equities tried to steady after a volatile week. | The yen weakened, and cross-border bond moves quietly tightened financial conditions at the margin. | Leadership tilted back toward tech and AI infrastructure. Elsewhere, the consumer told a different story. | Pressure surfaced where pricing power is thinning and global exposure cuts deeper. | Cyclicals lagged. Transport felt heavier. Housing showed incremental progress, but sentiment refused to follow. | Volatility was never far away. | A historic options expiration injected motion without direction, stretching intraday ranges while leaving the broader structure intact. | The week didn't end with answers. | It ended with alignment… and a market quietly deciding what it's willing to carry into year-end. |
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| | | | America's Top Billionaires Quietly Backed This Startup | When billionaires like Jeff Bezos and Bill Gates back an emerging technology, it's worth paying attention. | That's exactly what's happening with a little-known company founded by an ex-Google visionary. Alexander Green calls it "one of the most overlooked opportunities in AI right now" — and he's even an investor himself. | He's now sharing the full story, including why early investors are watching closely and why he believes widespread adoption could be just one announcement away. | Get the full rundown here. |
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| | | | The CPI print cooled, but the Fed wasn't buying it wholesale. | November inflation slowed, yet officials were quick to flag technical distortions tied to the shutdown. | New York Fed President John Williams put a number on it, suggesting the data likely ran about a tenth too soft. | Markets listened. Treasury yields edged higher Friday, with the 10-year back near 4.15%, signaling relief without repricing the policy path. | That caution is shaping expectations inside Washington. | Fed Governor Christopher Waller's interview for the chair role leaned heavily on labor-market risk rather than inflation victory laps. | With unemployment drifting higher and payroll growth uneven, the emphasis is shifting from fighting prices to managing slowdown optics. Rate cuts are still on the table, but timing remains conditional. | March odds moved up, January stays unlikely. | Globally, the easing cycle is losing momentum. | The Bank of Japan hiked to a 30-year high, the ECB signaled it's done guiding cuts, and the Bank of England trimmed rates narrowly while warning inflation may stick. | The message across G10 is convergence toward pause, not acceleration. | Threaded together, today favored duration discipline over duration chase. | Long-end yields cap rate-sensitive sectors like housing and utilities, while quality growth and labor-levered cyclicals hold appeal. | Financials benefit from curve stability, and global FX volatility stays selective rather than systemic. |
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| | | | Washington leaned into optics over nuance, and markets noticed right away where policy might actually land. | The White House moved quickly to suspend the diversity visa lottery after the Brown University shooting. | It's politically charged, but economically narrow: the program is small, and the signal matters more than the flow. Markets read it as posture, not a shift in workforce dynamics. | Trump, meanwhile, took the CPI print on the road. | Ahead of a North Carolina stop, the president pointed to cooling housing and food prices as proof his economic reset is working, even as approval ratings on the economy remain weak. | The message isn't new, but the timing matters. | With unemployment drifting higher, the administration is clearly anchoring its narrative to inflation relief... and to voters feeling it before midterms loom. | Policy turned tangible in healthcare. | The White House is set to announce new drug-pricing agreements with major pharma names, extending its push to narrow U.S. prices toward global benchmarks. | Investors are less spooked this time. | Medicaid exposure is limited, discounts are already deep, and prior deals showed margin pressure is manageable rather than existential. | The focus is selective pressure, not sweeping reform. Immigration rhetoric stays headline-heavy. | Healthcare absorbs targeted regulation without breaking. | Consumer-facing and defensive sectors gain clarity, while political noise remains something markets price around, not through. |
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| | | | WARNING: Do Not Buy AI Stocks | While NVIDIA wobbles and the Magnificent 7 cool off, there's a backdoor AI play most investors are missing. | It's not software. It's not chips. | It's in the physical infrastructure AI can't run without — the land, power, and facilities behind every AI data center. | According to former Presidential Advisor Brad Thomas, President Trump's Executive Orders are about to ignite a massive boom in this overlooked sector. | A small group of companies is positioned to dominate — and most investors have no idea they exist. | Brad names his #1 pick in a short, time-sensitive briefing. | Get the FREE pick here. |
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| | | | Security commitments are holding, even as politics shift underneath them. | NATO officials signaled cautious optimism that the Czech-led ammunition initiative for Ukraine will continue, despite Prague's new government questioning funding. | The key detail for markets isn't Czech politics, it's continuity. | The program delivers roughly 40% of Kyiv's artillery supply, and most funding already comes from partners outside Prague, keeping defense logistics intact. | Diplomacy moved back into view. | Ukraine opened a new round of talks with U.S. negotiators, with European allies looped in and parallel discussions expected with Moscow. | No breakthroughs yet, but the presence of draft frameworks on security guarantees and reconstruction signals that negotiations are no longer hypothetical. Markets read this as duration, not resolution. | Elsewhere, Washington leaned into stabilization. | The U.S. has secured pledges for thousands of security personnel to support Haiti's gang suppression force, exceeding initial targets. | It's a contained intervention, but one aimed at preventing regional spillover rather than responding after the fact. | Defense contractors and logistics providers retain visibility as commitments persist. Reconstruction-linked materials stay optionality plays, not base cases. | Energy and risk assets remain insulated as geopolitical stress is managed, not escalated, keeping volatility localized rather than systemic. |
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| | | | | | Bitcoin Is Running Out … and the Smart Money Knows What Comes Next | For the first time in nearly 7 years, less than 15% of all Bitcoin remains on exchanges. At the same time, institutions are buying faster than new BTC can be mined. ETFs, corporations, and governments are creating a real supply shock. | When demand overwhelms supply, price has only one direction to go. This isn't hype—it's math. And the next major crypto move may already be setting up. | That's why 27 top crypto experts are revealing how they're positioning ahead of this shift. | For a limited time, you can attend FREE. | Claim your free ticket to the Crypto Community Summit 2025 now. |
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| | | | This was a stabilization session, not a breakout. | Global yields firmed, equities absorbed it, and tech reclaimed leadership where demand visibility still exists. | AI wasn't repriced, it was re-sorted. | Consumer weakness showed up where execution matters most. | With derivatives cleared and macro largely digested, positioning now matters more than narrative. | The tape heads into year-end lighter, tighter, and still selective. |
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