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More Reading from MarketBeat MercadoLibre Stock Is in Deep Pullback Territory: Time to Buy?Authored by Ryan Hasson. Posted: 3/30/2026. 
Key Points- MercadoLibre has fallen nearly 40% from its all-time high, whilst revenue surged 45% year over year to $8.8 billion in Q4.
- Despite the sharp drawdown, 19 analysts hold a consensus Moderate Buy rating with a price target implying nearly 67% upside.
- With the stock approaching its 200-day SMA on the weekly chart and its forward P/E compressing into the low 20s, MELI may be offering one of its most attractive entry points in recent years.
- Special Report: URGENT: $2 Gold Stock With Major Discovery
MercadoLibre (NASDAQ: MELI), often called the Amazon (NYSE: AMZN) of Latin America, may be entering discount territory. The stock has fallen nearly 40% from its all-time high and is down almost 20% year to date. Market selloffs can be uncomfortable, but they also create long-term buying opportunities in high-quality businesses. With MELI's valuation compressing, sidelined investors may finally be seeing the entry point they've been waiting for. A Dominant Force in Latin American E-CommerceMercadoLibre is the leading e-commerce and fintech platform in Latin America, connecting millions of buyers and sellers across 18 countries. Its core business is a vast online marketplace spanning electronics, fashion, vehicles and more. The company is more than a marketplace: it also offers digital payments, credit and insurance services, targeting a rapidly growing and largely underserved middle class across the region. That combination of marketplace dominance and fintech expansion positions MercadoLibre as a central player in Latin America's broader economic development. A Company Still Very Much in Growth ModeThere's a clear reason sentiment on MELI remains broadly bullish. The company has consistently grown sales and expanded its footprint across Latin America at an impressive pace, topping revenue estimates throughout 2025. Its most recent report, released Feb. 24 for Q4 2025, produced some headline noise: MELI reported a 12.5% decline in quarterly profits and missed bottom-line expectations. The cause of the miss matters, though. Management deliberately ramped investments aimed at long-term growth — issuing more credit cards (which increases provisions), expanding free shipping and accelerating its first-party direct sales model. These are growth investments, not signs of a deteriorating business; management has made similar trade-offs before. The top-line numbers support that strategy. Revenue rose 45% year over year to $8.8 billion, above the $8.5 billion analyst consensus. The company's credit portfolio jumped 90% year over year to $12.5 billion, and total payment volume in the acquiring business grew roughly 40%. Looking ahead, earnings are expected to rise about 43.6% next year, from $43.96 to $63.13 per share. Sentiment Is Bullish as the Stock Enters Deep Pullback TerritoryDespite the sharp decline, Wall Street and institutions remain largely bullish. Based on 19 analyst ratings, MELI carries a consensus rating of Moderate Buy. The consensus price target implies nearly 70% upside from current levels — a substantial target for a company valued around $82 billion and a sign of conviction in the long-term opportunity. Institutional flows tell a similar story. Over the prior 12 months, institutions purchased more than $20 billion in MELI stock, versus outflows of just under $15 billion. Insider selling has been limited as well: only three insider sales were recorded over the past year, totaling about $2.3 million. That restraint during both the prior uptrend and the current drawdown is notable. The Chart Is Approaching a Key LevelOn the weekly timeframe, MELI remains in a broader uptrend. The stock is now nearing its 200-day simple moving average — a level that has historically acted as significant support on the weekly chart. If MELI begins to build a base around this area, it could signal the start of meaningful stabilization. The valuation picture is also becoming more attractive. With the forward price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) approaching the low 20s, MELI is trading at one of its more compelling entry points in recent years. For long-term investors looking to participate in this Latin American e-commerce and fintech leader, the setup is becoming harder to ignore. |
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