It's Sunday. |
Want to visit space? It will cost $750,000. |
Virgin Galactic is reopening sales of its commercial spaceflights on a limited basis. |
That price reflects a $100,000 increase from last year. Flights are expected to begin in Q4 using its new Delta class spacecraft.
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The price of access keeps rising, even for space travel. |
Key Data Bites Over The Last Week: |
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In today's newsletter: |
🩸 Luxury Stocks Bloodbath ✔️ Nike's Lost Decade 📉 Best Stocks of Q1 2026 🩸 Worst Stocks of Q1 2026 🔎 Elon Musk's Net Worth Breakdown
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Let's jump right in. |
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📣 A Message From Carbon Finance |
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The market is going to crash. |
This is not a prediction, but a fact. It always does, eventually. |
Warren Buffett called the recent sell-off "nothing" and said he's not in it "to make 5 or 6%." |
No one knows when the next bear market is going to hit. But when it does, I plan to be ready. |
I started Carbon Capital to document building a concentrated portfolio from scratch with $100K in personal capital. I've already taken two positions. 94% is still in cash, ready for the right opportunities. |
Last week, I sent subscribers 5 businesses at the top of my watchlist. Tomorrow, I send the next 5. |
Over 325 people are already following along. Founding member pricing is still open. |
Most people show up after the story is written. You can still watch it unfold. |
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Luxury is in a downturn. |
These companies were once considered recession proof, yet many are now in a recession of their own despite a relatively steady global economy. Names like Gucci parent Kering, Burberry, and LVMH have all fallen nearly 50% or more from their all-time highs.
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The pressure is coming largely from China. |
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At the same time, the post pandemic surge, fueled by stimulus and pent up demand, pulled spending forward. |
As inflation followed, many of these companies raised prices aggressively, leading to consumer pushback. Tariffs, currency moves, and policy uncertainty have added further pressure.
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All of this has led to a broad reset across the luxury sector. |
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Nike just can't do it. |
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While the latest quarter came in ahead of expectations on both earnings and revenue, the outlook told a very different story. |
Management now expects sales to decline between 2% and 4% in the current quarter, well below the 2% growth analysts were looking for. The weakness is even more pronounced in China, where sales are projected to plunge 20%.
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For the full year, Nike is guiding to a low single digit decline in sales, pushing any meaningful recovery further out. |
Tariffs, rising oil prices, weaker demand, and intensifying competition in China continue to make the turnaround more challenging for CEO Elliott Hill.
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The first quarter of 2026 is in the books. |
Despite the S&P 500 being down 4% on the year, a select group of stocks is sharply outperforming. |
Most of the leaders fall into two categories. |
The first is AI infrastructure, including names like SanDisk, Lumentum, and Ciena, which support the buildout through memory, networking, and optical technology. The second is energy and materials. Companies like LyondellBasell, Dow, APA, CF Industries, and Occidental have benefited from higher oil prices due to the war in Iran.
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Then there are a few outliers. |
Texas Pacific Land has surged by positioning itself as a data center enabler, leveraging its land, power, and water access to support AI infrastructure. And lastly, Moderna is moving higher after resolving a key patent dispute and raising its 2026 revenue outlook tied to its new product pipeline.
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The worst performers this quarter all have one thing in common. |
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Unlike the winners, which clustered into clear themes, the laggards are being hit by company specific issues. |
Let's focus on the most well known ones: |
AppLovin is among the hardest hit, weighed down by an SEC investigation and mounting short seller pressure. Robinhood has fallen alongside crypto prices, which has pressured trading activity and revenue. Workday and Intuit are getting caught in the SaaS selloff, as investors question how AI and agent-based tools could threaten their business models. FICO is also under pressure, facing regulatory scrutiny over its pricing power and growing competition from alternative scoring models like VantageScore.
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As we can see, no clear theme, just pressure building in different ways. |
This is the tradeoff with single stock investing. |
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$1T isn't that crazy anymore. At least not for Elon Musk. |
SpaceX is now targeting an IPO valuation above $2T in its upcoming IPO. |
At that level, Musk's ~42% stake alone would be worth over $840B. And that is before factoring in Tesla, Neuralink, and The Boring Company.
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If SpaceX hits that target, it would make it the sixth largest company in the world. |
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For comparison, Tesla trades closer to 14x revenue. |
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🐂 Bullish Bill↗ – Bill Ackman said it's one of the best times in a long time to buy quality stocks. | 💬 Powell's Thoughts↗ – Fed Chair Jerome Powell says inflation is in check, sees no private credit contagion, and no need for rate hikes. | 💸 Insider Bet↗ – A broker for U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth tried to make a large investment in defense companies in weeks leading up to Iran War. | 🍎 Expensive Apple↗ – Warren Buffett said he would not buy Apple at current prices. | 🤵♂️ Chauffeur Service↗ – Uber is set to acquire Blacklane to expand luxury and executive travel offerings. | 💊 Pill Approval↗ – FDA approved Eli Lilly's GLP-1 pill, named Foundayo. | ↪ Capital Rotation↗ – Investors are struggling to sell OpenAI shares on the secondary market as demand shifts to Anthropic. |
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Notable Companies Reporting Earnings Week of April 5th, 2026: |
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 | Major Trades Published 3/30 - 4/3. Trades may be those of family members. [Source: Capitol Trades] |
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 | Major Trades Published 3/30 - 4/3 |
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