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In partnership with Mode Mobile |
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Over $1 trillion in market value vanished in just six hours |
That’s what happened recently when the Nasdaq suffered its worst drop since 2022. Public investors watched portfolios swing wildly. |
And according to President Trump, the market is entering a “period of transition.” Which is another way of saying volatility may continue. |
But here’s what most people never realize…
Some investors operate outside the public markets entirely. They invest before companies go public. And historically, that’s where the biggest gains happen. |
In fact, analysts estimate 95% of a tech company’s profits occur before the IPO. That’s exactly why opportunities like Mode Mobile’s pre-IPO offering are attracting attention. |
Instead of being exposed to daily market swings… Mode’s 59,000+ investors participate while the company is still private. |
And the company has already built serious traction: |
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Now investors can claim pre-IPO shares before the company potentially goes public. |
(Some may qualify forup to 20% bonus shares.) |
👉 Click here to see Mode Mobile’s pre-IPO opportunity |
Please read the offering circular and related risks at invest.modemobile.com.This is a paid advertisement for Mode Mobile’s Regulation A+ Offering. Mode Mobile recently received their ticker reservation with Nasdaq ($MODE), indicating an intent to IPO in the next 24 months. An intent to IPO is no guarantee that an actual IPO will occur. The Deloitte rankings are based on submitted applications and public company database research, with winners selected based on their fiscal-year revenue growth percentage over a three-year period. Pro forma revenue and EBITDA, includes full year numbers of the businesses acquired throughout 2025 |
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In today's edition: |
✔️ Why the first week of April just handed investors one of the worst openings since 2022 |
✔️ The fragile U.S.–Iran ceasefire and what it means for oil — and your portfolio |
✔️ Why the Fed can't save you this time, and where capital is quietly moving |
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The $3.3 Trillion Wake-Up Call |
The S&P 500 closed out Q1 2026 down 5.1% — its worst quarterly start since 2022. Then April arrived and made things worse. |
The trigger was Trump's executive order imposing a 10% universal baseline tariff on all U.S. imports, with steeper reciprocal levies — up to 50% — targeting major trading partners. Markets read it as a structural shift, not a negotiating tactic. The Nasdaq posted its sharpest multi-day drop in years. Volatility, as measured by the VIX, surged above 25, reflecting the kind of investor anxiety not seen since the 2022 rate-shock cycle. |
Trump's own language frames this as a "period of transition". Translation: uncertainty is the new baseline. |
What makes this sell-off different from previous dips is the combination of pressures stacking simultaneously — tariff shock, geopolitical oil risk, and a central bank with almost no room to act. These aren't isolated events. They're feeding each other. |
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The April sell-off isn't noise — it reflects a structural repricing of risk across public markets. |
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One Strait, One Fragile Deal |
While tariffs drove the first wave of selling, the Strait of Hormuz added a second, more unpredictable layer of risk. |
The Strait is a narrow shipping lane — roughly 21 miles wide at its tightest point — through which approximately one-fifth of the world's oil supply flows daily. As conflict escalated through February and March, tanker traffic thinned and Brent crude climbed above $103 per barrel. |
On April 7, Trump and Iran agreed to a two-week conditional ceasefire, contingent on Iran immediately reopening the Strait. Oil responded fast: Brent dropped roughly 13% from its peak on the news. Equity markets globally bounced. |
But the relief is fragile. Iranian officials described safe transit as "feasible" — subject to military coordination and unspecified "technical limitations". Formal talks begin in Islamabad on April 10, and analysts note a "significant trust deficit on both sides". Brent still trades roughly 32% above its pre-conflict level near $70. |
For your investments, elevated oil costs feed directly into corporate margins and consumer prices — keeping inflation sticky regardless of what happens at the negotiating table. |
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The ceasefire bought two weeks. It didn't solve the problem — it postponed it. |
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The Fed Is Out of Moves |
In a normal downturn, the Federal Reserve would be the backstop. Cut rates, ease conditions, restore confidence. That playbook is unavailable right now. |
The Fed held rates steady at 3.50%–3.75% at its March meeting and signaled just one potential cut for all of 2026. Since then, the situation has deteriorated. Oil-driven inflation is expected to push PCE — the Fed's preferred inflation measure — toward 3.5% year-over-year by April, the highest since May 2023. Futures markets now price approximately a 48% probability of zero rate cuts in 2026, a dramatic shift from January when three cuts were widely expected. Wells Fargo formally revised its outlook on April 6 and no longer expects any cuts this year. |
Don't expect the Fed to ride to the rescue. Higher-for-longer is the baseline scenario — and most investors have never had to plan around that combination of stalled monetary policy and rising trade costs simultaneously. |
Most investors have never heard this before — but there's a 100-year-old investment secret discovered just before the Great Depression that helped accurately identify some of the biggest stock winners in history: Apple in 2004, Nvidia in 2011, and Monster Beverage in 2003. Today, this investment secret is flashing green on a new set of potentially explosive stocks… |
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With inflation rising and the Fed on hold, the traditional "wait for the rate cut" strategy has no timeline attached to it. |
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Where Capital Goes When the Floor Disappears |
Public market turbulence doesn't destroy capital — it redirects it. |
When daily mark-to-market swings become this severe, investors increasingly look at assets that aren't subject to hourly repricing. Private markets, and specifically pre-IPO equity, operate on a different rhythm. Valuations aren't reset every time a tariff headline crosses the wire. |
BlackRock's 2026 Private Markets Outlook notes that private assets are "reshaping how investors achieve diversification", with a growing number of individuals entering asset classes previously accessible only to institutions. Franklin Templeton identifies this precise moment — elevated public volatility — as the catalyst that accelerates that migration. FTI Consulting notes that companies able to reference a strong pre-IPO track record are entering 2026 better positioned than those dependent on open-market sentiment. |
The math behind it is straightforward: analysts estimate 95% of a tech company's value creation occurs before it goes public. By the time a company reaches an IPO, the largest portion of the growth curve has already been captured — by early investors, not by anyone buying on day one of trading. |
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How did you find today’s briefing? |
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Written by Deniss Slinkins
Global Financial Journal |
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I’m not financial advisors. Nothing in this publication is investment, tax, or legal advice. Any decision to buy, sell, or hold an investment is solely your responsibility. |
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