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Trump Plunging Into "Escalation Trap?" |
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Trump gives Iran another extension… We're falling into the "escalation trap"... For decades, one type of investment was reserved for the ultra-wealthy. Then Trump signed Executive Order 14330 - and opened it to everyone. Now you can get into this boom for less than $20. See what changed >>
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Dear reader, |
The president has granted Iran an additional extension. The 10-day reprieve expires Apr. 6. |
Should Iran fail to raise the gate on the Hormuz Strait by Apr. 6… thunders the president… Energy Plant destruction awaits it: |
As per Iranian Government request, please let this statement serve to represent that I am pausing the period of Energy Plant destruction by 10 Days to Monday, April 6, 2026, at 8 P.M., Eastern Time. Talks are ongoing and, despite erroneous statements to the contrary by the Fake News Media, and others, they are going very well. |
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During a Cabinet gathering yesterday, the president claimed that Iran is "begging to make a deal." |
The Iranian authorities deny the claim. They have, in fact, issued their own terms. |
Among these are reparations payments from the United States. Iran insists the United States must compensate Iran for the destruction it has wrought. |
I hazard Hell will be an Antarctica before President Trump signs his name along that dotted line. |
"Boots on the Ground" Are Coming |
Incidentally, I am tempted to comment upon the whipsawing oil and stock markets. Yet I refrain. |
I refrain because facts one minute may be fictions the next minute. Events are simply too "fluid" for our publishing schedule. And I do not wish to disseminate misinformation. |
Meantime, I hazard an American ground campaign of one sort or other is in prospect. |
The Marines are closing in. As are elements of the Army's 82nd Airborne Division. |
The speculation has them seizing certain islands in the Persian Gulf and/or the Hormuz Strait. |
Yet perhaps the speculated operations are but a ruse, a feint, a diversion to camouflage their true objective. |
I simply do not know. I have solicited the input of my agents… yet they could offer no light. |
All the while, Reuters reports the Pentagon is preparing the deployment of an additional 10,000 personnel to the region. |
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Iran's "Hardliners" Want to Go Nuclear |
Meantime, Reuters also reports that "hardliners" within the Iranian government are agitating for the development — or acquisition — of nuclear weaponry: |
With the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) now dominant following the killing of veteran Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei at the start of the war on February 28, hardline views on Iran's nuclear approach are in the ascendant, two senior Iranian sources said. |
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Iran, whose leaders are sworn to destroy Israel, denies seeking nuclear arms, saying Khamenei issued a religious ban on them and citing the Islamic Republic's membership in the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty… |
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There is no plan to change Iran's nuclear doctrine yet, and Iran has not decided to seek a bomb, one of the sources said, but serious voices in the establishment are questioning the existing policy and demanding a change… |
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Earlier this month, state television aired a segment with conservative commentator Nasser Torabi in which he said the Iranian public demanded to "act in order to build a nuclear weapon. Either we build it, or we acquire it." |
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Iran Could Probably Produce 11 Bombs |
It is believed Iran has in its possession some 400 kilograms of substantially enriched uranium. |
To raise present enrichment to weapons-grade level — 90% or more — would likely be the work of weeks. |
Technical hurdles would remain that Iran must clear. |
Yet the Islamic Republic could theoretically manufacture perhaps 11 Hiroshima-style nuclear devices with existing uranium stocks. |
Can it execute the caper under harassing American and Israeli bombardment? |
I do not know. Yet Iran is a vast, mountained nation — heavily nooked — and heavily crannied. |
Thus it may be able to conceal its efforts. |
Could Iran possibly acquire a nuclear weapon, as suggested? |
In theory, yes. Yet from whom? |
North Korea Offered Iran Nukes |
My agents inform me that after last June's assault upon known Iranian nuclear facilities, North Korea was keen to hand Iran nuclear devices. |
Yet the North Koreans could not conduct the transaction absent Russian consent. |
The Russian response to the North Korean request, say my agents, was a resounding and deafening NYET! |
Russia is against a nuclear-armed Iran because it would likely set in train a fresh wave of nuclear proliferation — by Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Egypt at least. |
And Russia fears that proliferating nuclear arms may worm their way into Ukraine. |
Thus Russia is against a nuclear-armed Iran. |
Falling Into the "Escalation Trap" |
Meantime, we can only watch… and wait. |
A certain Robert Pape professes political science at the University of Chicago. He has advised multiple presidential administrations on national security. |
And this fellow fears the United States and Iran are plunging into an "escalation trap." |
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I fear this fellow is correct. And as reports Axios: |
A dramatic military escalation will grow more likely if no progress is made in diplomatic talks, particularly if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. |
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Meantime, the gods observe the unfolding spectacle… as the will of Zeus moves toward its ultimate end… to cite a Homeric reference to the Trojan War. |
The Trojan War — according to Greek mythology — was conceived as a swift expedition to retrieve the captured Helen, whose face famously launched 1,000 ships. |
Yet the swift expedition transformed into a 10-year war of bloodletting barbarity. |
A cautionary tale? I do not know. |
Yet I do know that many wars are undertaken in expectation of swift victory. |
I likewise know that swift victory often proves elusive. |
Brian Maher |
for Freedom Financial News |
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