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Starlink could be one of the defining IPOs of the decade. |
Right now, everyone's asking the same question: when can I actually buy shares? |
Here's what we know. |
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The Waiting Game |
Starlink is the satellite internet service developed and operated by SpaceX, the aerospace manufacturer founded by Elon Musk. He repeated that Starlink could list once cash flow is predictable but declined to set a timetable. |
He's been consistent about this since 2022. Musk said a Starlink IPO wasn't likely until at least 2025 or later. |
We're in late 2025 now. Still no IPO. |
Some investors got excited in August when tech entrepreneur James Altucher predicted an announcement on August 13. That date came and went. Nothing happened. |
But here's the thing. Musk has good reasons to wait. |
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Why Starlink Isn't Public Yet |
Think of it this way. You've built something that's printing money. Starlink has become a cash machine for SpaceX and is instrumental in funding its development. Why would you rush to share that? |
Musk told investors that Starlink wasn't having any problems raising money through private investors. When you can get all the cash you need without dealing with quarterly earnings calls and public market pressure, why bother? |
There's also the matter of control. Going public means answering to shareholders. Musk has never been a fan of that arrangement. |
| | | | Why do you think Musk is delaying the IPO? | |
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Business Model |
 | Starlink Mini (Starlink) |
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Before we talk numbers, let's talk about what you'd be investing in. |
Starlink is a global satellite internet provider developed by SpaceX to bring fast, low-latency internet access worldwide. |
The company has launched over 5,000 satellites. They serve more than 2 million users across the globe. |
Picture it like this: the traditional internet needs cables and towers. Starlink beams the internet directly from space. |
| ❝ | | | "SpaceX is doing great work with the Starlink programme, providing low-cost, reliable internet throughout the world, and hopefully, India. We'd love to be operating in India. That would be great. We are operating in 150 different countries now, with Starlink." | | | | Elon Musk |
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Starlink supports over 5 million customers across the world. |
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The Money Question |
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Here's where it gets interesting. |
Some analysts estimate that Starlink will reach $12.3 billion in revenue in 2025. |
Valuation estimates are all over the map. Starlink's value is estimated between $30 billion and $50 billion. Some think it could hit $100 billion. |
Billionaire investor Ron Baron said that Starlink will go public at a valuation in the $250 billion to $300 billion range, though he doesn't expect that until 2027. |
Why such a wide range? Because satellite internet is still evolving. The business model is relatively new at this scale. |
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How Starlink Makes Money |
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Starlink generates income in two steps: first, it sells a user terminal, then charges an ongoing connectivity fee. |
That monthly subscription creates predictable revenue. But the real money comes from bigger contracts. Airlines want it for in-flight WiFi. Ships need it for ocean connectivity. The military wants secure satellite communications. |
These enterprise deals carry much higher profit margins than residential customers. |
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Can You Invest Now? |
Not easily. |
Platforms such as Hiive enable accredited investors to purchase shares of pre-IPO companies, including SpaceX. But most regular investors are locked out. |
Musk stated he'll do his best to give preference to long-term Tesla shareholders. That's worth noting if you're planning ahead. |
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| | | | If Starlink opened pre-IPO allocations tomorrow, would you invest? | |
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The Real Timeline |
Justus Parmar, founder and CEO of venture capital firm Fortuna Investments, told Reuters he's eyeing 2025 or 2026. Others think 2027 is more realistic. |
Musk is in no rush to expose the business to quarterly market pressure. And honestly, that's probably smart. Better to IPO when you're ready than when the market demands it. |
A few factors could speed up the timeline. |
First, competition. Amazon is building its own satellite network, Amazon Leo Ultra (read our post here). If they gain serious ground, that changes the calculation. |
Second, government contracts. That speculation has increased with US President Donald Trump's return to the White House and the possibility of more contracts. |
Third, Tesla pressure. If $TSLA ( ▼ 3.39% ) stays volatile (especially when Morgan Stanley's analyst downgraded shares), Musk might want another public company to diversify his wealth. |
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The Bottom Line |
SpaceX has absolutely no difficulty in raising money through private investors. That means we're waiting for Musk to be ready, not for Starlink to be ready. |
Could it happen in January 2026? Maybe. But don't count on it. |
SpaceX executives have said the company is considering a potential IPO in the second half of 2026, according to unnamed sources. |
If you're interested in Starlink, watch for these signs: SpaceX filing paperwork with the SEC, appointment of underwriting banks, or Musk making concrete statements about timing instead of keeping things vague. |
Until then, it's a waiting game. And in investing, patience usually pays off better than speculation. |
| | | | Which trend do you feel least understood but most affected by? | |
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions. |
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Trader Insights Media tracks thousands of companies every week using rigorous financial analysis. |
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