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Don Kaufman here. |
Let me tell you something fascinating about this morning's action.
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The S&P was ripping higher - up about 42 points in the early going. But here's the weird part - our usual suspects? |
Nowhere to be found. |
Let me paint you a picture. |
Nvidia? Down. I mean down-down.
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Meta? Couldn't move if you paid for it too.
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Google? Barely breathing.
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And Apple? Moving slower than my grandmother's dial-up internet. |
Now, what's really interesting is the reason behind this morning's move. |
We've got this ceasefire news coming out of the Middle East, specifically regarding Lebanon, and oil's taking a hit because of it.
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The market likes it, and money's flowing - just not where you'd typically expect it to. |
And here's what's got my attention: When you see the market wanting to move higher without its generals, it creates a particular kind of setup. |
Think about it - either these tech names eventually join the party (which could get explosive), or the market might need to rethink its enthusiasm.
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Of course, we've got to remember this is a holiday-shortened week.
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That means everything we're seeing this morning needs to be taken with a grain of salt.
Volume's not dead, but it's not exactly rocking either. This is the kind of setup that requires extra attention. |
I'm particularly watching that volume pattern into the open. It picked up in the last hour before the bell, but it's telling us something about institutional involvement - or lack thereof.
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And in this market, that matters. |
Look, I've been doing this long enough to know that morning moves can be deceiving.
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But when the market shows you something unusual, like it is this morning, you better pay attention.
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This type of action is telling us something - I'm not entirely sure what yet, but I'm watching like a hawk. |
Here's what I'm watching: If these tech names wake up and join the party, we could see some real fireworks. |
If they don't... well, let's just say parties without the cool kids usually don't last long. |
For now, what I can tell you is this: The market's trying to rally without its biggest players.
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That's like throwing a party where the popular kids decided to skip, but somehow the party's still rocking. We'll see how long that lasts. |
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