Dear Money & Crisis Reader, Last week I outlined how inflation has led to the yield on the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Bond breaking above its long-term downtrend for only the second time in 40 years (red circle in the chart below). As I mentioned at the time, the 10-Year U.S. Treasury is the single most important bond in the world. The yield on this bond represents the “risk free” rate of return for the ENTIRE financial system. This is literally the level against which all risk assets (stocks, commodities, real estate, etc.) are priced. The last time the yield on the 10-Year U.S. Treasury broke out to the upside was in 2018. That’s when stocks took a nose-dive, dropping 20% in a matter of days: As I also noted last week, there is a HUGE difference between what was happening in 2018 and what is happening now, however. |
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