Selasa, 20 April 2021

What Should You Do in the Middle of a Bubble?

Money & Crisis

April 20, 2021

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What Should You Do in the Middle of a Bubble?

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Graham SummersDear Money & Crisis Reader,

Yesterday I assessed how the markets were “bubbling up” as a result of hot inflation entering the financial system.

By quick way of review, the key points were as follows:

  1. 1) We are seeing clear signs of bubbles/froth in various asset classes, particularly crypto-currencies, non-fungible tokens (NFTs) and stocks.
  1. 2) The reason this is happening is because the Fed has signaled it wants hot inflation. As a result, investors are dumping U.S. dollars and piling into risk assets, particularly those that act as weak dollar plays.
  1. 3) At some point this bubble will burst, but for now, it remains intact.

Regarding the third point, most investors believe that as soon as stocks start to bubble, they should sell their shares.

This is a mistake. The truth is that you should BUY a bubble and ride it for as long as possible.

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Let’s Consider Some Historical Examples

Tech stocks entered bubble territory in 1998. But if you’d sold then, you’d have missed out on two years’ worth of major market gains. You would also have needed the psychological strength to not care about the market roaring, and everyone around you getting rich for some TWO years.

Tech Bubble of 1998 chart

Let’s take a more recent example: the housing bubble.

It was clear the housing market was in a bubble in 2006, if not 2005. And yet, stocks continued to bubble up until late 2007. Here again, if you had sold at the first signs of froth, you would have missed out on over a year’s worth of gains. You’d also have needed the psychological wherewithal to NOT care about everyone around you getting rich for months on end before you were eventually proven right.

Housing Bubble stock chart

Again, when you see a bubble, you should BUY and ride it for as long as possible. This current bubble is no exception. Don’t miss out on the gains, especially when inflation is igniting and stocks are bubbling.

I’ll outline how to avoid the coming crash in tomorrow’s article.

Until then…

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

Graham Summers
Editor, Money & Crisis

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