At that time, it appeared that Luckin would eventually be driven into bankruptcy. In July, the company hired a liquidator to negotiate a financial settlement with its creditors. The vultures were circling. Somehow, the company survived. Take a look at the stock chart below and compare it to the one above. Look familiar? Once again, depending on when you bought Luckin, you are either very happy are extremely disappointed. I wrote about Luckin last May when its share price was below $3. I did not think that the company would make it through the crisis intact. However, I thought its stock still held potential value. Read This Story: Luckin Takes a Lickin' My thesis was that a competitor might buy the company to acquire the leases to its more than 6,000 store locations throughout China. In particular, I wondered if Dunkin' Brands (NSDQ: DNKN) might acquire Luckin to better compete with Starbucks (NSDQ: SBUX) and McDonald's (NYSE: MCD). That hasn't happened. But now that Luckin's legal problems appear to be over it may be back in play. Last month, the company reached a $180 million settlement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission regarding its illicit accounting practices. The next day, Luckin announced that its liquidator was able to negotiate a financial settlement with its creditors that has been approved by the court. Over those two days, LKNCY more than doubled in value. Fallen Angels I don't recommend trying to guess which company will be the next one to avoid bankruptcy. More often than not, they end up running out of options and then going out of business. Instead, I suggest you consider the iShares Fallen Angels USD Bond ETF (FALN). This fund owns bonds issued by companies considered to be in serious financial trouble. The top holding of the fund is a bond issued by Carnival (NYSE: CCL). Two months ago, I discussed Carnival's decision to swap stock for more debt. The cruise ship industry is in trouble. The longer it takes to get COVID-19 under control, the greater the chances that Carnival may have to declare bankruptcy. If that happens, Carnival's shareholders may end up with worthless stock. However, its debt is collateralized by ships that can be sold to pay off the bonds. In terms of sectors, the fund's biggest issuers are energy companies. The energy sector has taken a beating during the past year, as evidenced by RIG's abysmal performance noted above. So far, the fund's strategy appears to be working. It pays a dividend yield of 5.1% while its share price has gained 8% over the past year. Betting on the next generation... That is a solid return during a difficult time, but I think investors can do a lot better than that. Forget about fallen angels. Instead, focus on the companies that will benefit from 5G (fifth generation) technologies. The world is becoming increasingly connected. The Internet of Things is really only getting started. 5G promises to make the world a truly inter-connected one, where potentially billions of devices and systems can seamlessly communicate with one another. 4G made life a whole lot more convenient and made many companies that were able to seize the opportunity incredibly rich. 5G is an even bigger leap, and the opportunities are even greater. We've found a technology company that's an indispensable part of the 5G ecosystem. This investment play is little noticed by Wall Street. The time to buy shares is now, before the investment herd catches on. For details click here. |
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