Seeing a stock go up 118% in one day and then push some more in the after-hours can get very tempting.
It's easy to see why many beginning traders and investors get lured into the small biotechs world, trying to find the next big cure and make many-folds in the process.
The reality is, as always, a little more harsh— small biotech stocks are a curse as much as a blessing.
And above all, they're nothing but a gamble, and gambling is one thing you want to avoid as a trader.
These companies tend to develop one key drug and any data readout becomes what we call a "binary event"— good data makes it, bad data breaks it.
The greatest minds in the world are getting paid top dollar to research and predict trial outcomes for drug candidates and none have found a consistent way to do so.
We love biotechs for the volatility they provide, but we aren't going to lie to you and say, "here are the next 3 stocks that will double overnight"— we don't know what the results will bring and nobody does.
But we have found an edge in biotechs and it doesn't rely on the unknown.
See, the abovementioned greatest minds don't get paid for completely nothing— they still provide valuable opinions and estimates for big money to make their bets.
When the market believes a drug (and a stock) has a good chance of delivering - you'd see a run up into the data readout.
Conversely, if the public thinks a flop is in the making, there'll be no enthusiasm (or bid) going into the news.
We love taking advantage of anticipation moves and present to you 3 stocks we believe can move big into the upcoming data:
Liquidia - LQDA
- The company's main product candidate is LIQ861, a drug for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension.
- The FDA has scheduled a PDUFA decision date for the drug for November 24th, 2020— a little less than a month away.
- LQDA stock has been drifting lower with resistance at $6, but has found a bid over the past few days on high volume. Combined with a 10%+ short interest, it presents a good setup shall the strength continue.
Going into the decision, our play is as follows:
- Buy Zone: 4 to 4.50
- Profit Zone: 5.90 for half, 6.90 for the rest, leave small for a push to 8
- Stop Zone: 3.60 or below
Tidak ada komentar:
Posting Komentar