| Sam Volkering | 4 June 2020 |
Will Cozen-20 kill you next?
Why did gold pull back?
As economies open back up, the demand for safe haven assets will diminish. So, in the short term, gold might take a hit. But in the medium term, things are looking much better for the yellow metal…
| | Dear Subscriber,
There's a new virus that has apparently just been discovered. The scary thing is that it has been circulating for some time now. Actually, it's believed this new virus has been circulating as long as Covid-19 or may have started just after it.
And it seems to be directly linked to Covid-19.
Because it's directly linked, this new virus carries the scientific name Cozen-20.
I suggest you look it up. It's pretty scary and the long-lasting damage it's going to have could actually be far worse than it looks like Covid-19 will be.
Cozen-20 will do further damage to the economy, to the living standards of millions, to the livelihoods of families and it may very well end up killing multitudes more people than Covid-19 has or will over time.
What also amplifies the impact of Cozen-20 is the other virus that's been spreading around much longer than Covid-19 or Cozen-20. And that's the social media virus.
But more on that shortly. First what exactly is Cozen-20 and why has it become so dangerous?
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What is Cozen-20?
I saw a video yesterday. It was an advertisement from 1943. It was an anti-racism ad. The broader message is that we're all different, but we're all human. And we should treat each other as such.
A powerful 76-year-old message that apparently hasn't changed the views of many in that time. Nonetheless, there was a segment of audio that was extremely powerful.
It said, "We are not born with prejudices. They are made for us, made for us by those who want something."
That struck a chord with me because it's so true. Prejudice is impressed on you by your environment, by those who have the responsibility to teach you the ways of the world, by the media and by what you see and experience around you.
The problem and the scary thing about the world of tomorrow is that media, from all angles, is more of a virus and harmful than often the world that it purports to represent.
This is why you get nutjobs taking a shotgun into a pizza restaurant because they think a child sex ring run by Hillary Clinton is operating in the basement.
This is why you get nutjobs burning down 5G towers because they think Bill Gates is spreading coronavirus in some mass conspiracy to sterilise the world.
This is why you get viruses like Cozen-20 spreading amongst the population driving fear into the very existence of people today, and generations of tomorrow, when there's a perfectly accessible cure to all of it.
The reality is that truth, facts, and independent thinking based on said truth and facts is what cures this – what cures Cozen-20.
The reality is that 5G towers aren't transmitting coronavirus. They're not sending tumours into your body. And Bill Gates has got six-tenths of bugger-all to do with a mass conspiracy and any links to being the devil.
For what it's worth too, 5G technology is a game changer. It has the power to unleash economic development and growth on a scale we've not seen since perhaps the discovery and wide-spread distribution of electricity.
Now you may agree with me on that, or you may not. But what you do need to consider is that if 5G is as game changing as I believe it will be, and you're sat there watching the whole ship sail past, will you regret doing nothing about it while you had the chance? Or would you want to have at least seen how big an opportunity 5G technology actually delivers to smart investors like you?
But Cozen-20 is curable, and that's also because like the theories about Bill Gates and the theories about the Clinton-run sex ring – it's deception at its finest.
Here's what Cozen really means as per the Merriam-Webster dictionary,
| Definition of cozen
transitive verb
1: to deceive, win over, or induce to do something by artful coaxing and wheedling or shrewd trickery
2: to gain by cozening someone
| | While "Cozen-20" might not be a virus in its truest sense, it's still something that plagues us all. You see I suspect that one of the most significant forms of artful coaxing has been in play from the government ever since it came to the realisation that all its scientific modelling around the projected impact of Covid-19 was wrong.
As the virus was initially discovered in Wuhan and the corresponding lockdown of that region was put into place, global authorities were given a peek at one way of dealing with a threatening virus outbreak.
Then as it began to spread and find its way through other parts of the world, sudden panic set in. At this point they needed data and information. They needed to deliver something to the public, to the "news makers".
People demanded fast, decisive action. But that was and will always be nearly impossible to give. With limited sample sets, limited testing capacity and limited data, any kinds of projected figures were simply guesses.
Worse still, the knee-jerk responses to shut down economies and to do it fast from media and social media proved too great. Reliance on the modelling from a scientist that has repeatedly proven to be wildly inaccurate with his previous virus modelling was the only way that numbers could be delivered to the masses.
And soon the narrative was created to fit that modelling that was created to fit the need for instant answers to something that wasn't particularly all that black and white.
Since then there has been widespread condemnation of the Imperial College and IHME modelling including this damning report on the "Statistical Accuracy of COVID-19 Daily Death Count Predictions".
Where the researchers found,
| The initial model underestimates the uncertainty surrounding the number of daily deaths. Specifically, the true number of next day deaths fell outside the IHME prediction intervals as much as 76% of the time, in comparison to the expected value of 5%.
| | Further still, we know that Covid-19 discriminates and is a radically high risk to people over 80, a high risk to people over 60 and near zero risk for children. Yet, the fear perpetuated around the world is that sending kids back to school is going to send us back into extreme lockdown.
That's just not going to happen.
Stay away from the Cozen-20 stocks
But it's this cycle of fear and the messaging from governments that is now so damaging. If you're not staying away from people, if you're leaving home when you shouldn't, if you're not following their rules, you're killing people is exactly what Cozen-20 is all about.
The messaging from government means that there is now more risk to people from other risks than there is from Covid-19. Wired reports that,
| [In the UK] Data now emerging suggests that, within the past two months, two-week urgent referrals for cancer tests and diagnoses have fallen by an average of 76 per cent in some places.
| | People are fearful they will catch Covid-19 by just going to the doctor. I even know of someone in their mid-30s that required treatment, who was told to stay away from the local GP.
Further still, I've also spoken with others whose GP had refused maternal care. This was a perfectly healthy person in the early stages of pregnancy being refused a doctor's appointment.
This is how bad it has got. And it's all based on information from the government that knows it is not accurate and is in fact misleading.
But they can't now go and say we got it wrong can they. When was the last time you heard them say we were wrong on a small issue, let alone one that's driven the country into the most cataclysmic economic conditions since the Great Depression.
What the data emerging now suggests is that the fatality rates, the infection rates, all the key information that's needed, shows Covid-19 is not the threat that it was initially believed to have been. And that a lockdown actually is unlikely to have saved more lives than if there had been no lockdown at all.
Come the end of the year, when the real data has been fully analysed, we will look back on this period with bemusement at the actions put in place, the cost of government decisions and the real death tolls that will far exceed that of Covid-19 long term.
With this fear and the perpetuation that the only saviour is a vaccine, there have been a number of what I call "Cozen-20 stocks" that have shot the lights out and boomed off the back of potential vaccines or therapies or protection measures to kill off Covid-19.
The mere mention of Covid-19 in an announcement has been able to see stock values skyrocket and shareholders reap the rewards. The reality though is that as we work through the real data and understand more about the reality of this virus, many of these Cozen-20 juiced-up stocks are likely to fall back to earth.
Here's just a small sample size of the UK-listed stocks that have shot the lights out on potential Covid-19 developments:
- Novacyt (LSE:NCYT])– YTD up 1,953%
- Open Orphan (LSE:ORPH) – YTD up 200%
- Byotrol [LSE:BYOT] – YTD up 246%
- Avacta Group (LSE:AVCT) – YTD up 656%
- Omega Diagnostics (LSE:ODX) – YTD up 344%
- Synairgen (LSE:SNG) – YTD up 650%
- Genedrive (LSE:GDR) – YTD up 513%
Now I'm not saying these are bad stocks. And there's plenty about each company that makes them valuable in their own right. What I'm saying is that many have pumped on this Covid-19 crisis, when in all reality it's fast emerging as a Cozen-20 crisis – an artful coaxing by government for us to buy into their rhetoric so they aren't widely criticised for making wrong decisions.
But these stocks are a bit like all those "Ebola stocks" that boomed out of the 2014 Ebola outbreak. They too fast sailed back down when it all settled down.
As this continues to emerge, I'm saying that if you've made a profit in these stocks, then you should seriously be thinking about taking some of those profits off the table.
And if you're looking to invest in these stocks, you would want to be bloody sure there's far more about them than just a Covid-19 opportunity.
Some already are falling back to earth:
- Genedrive is down to 138p from a high of over 300p
- Synairgen is down to around 44p from a high over 81p
- Avacta is down to around 141p from a high over 215p
- Novacyt is down to around 286p from a high of over 529p
This I believe to be a clear sign of more to come for these kinds of stocks. Right now if you're looking to invest into any Covid-19 stocks, I'd say steer clear, they're more Cozen-20 than anything else.
Regards,
Sam Volkering
Editor, Southbank Investment Research
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