From a predictive standpoint, historically, most major crashes see stocks retrace 61.8% of their initial decline before rolling over and crashing again. So if stocks CANNOT break above the 61.8% retracement, they are doomed to crash to new lows. As such, the 61.8% retracement is "the line in the sand." During the Tech Crash, the Nasdaq retraced 61.8% of the initial decline during a major bounce. It then stopped on a dime and rolled over to crash to new lows. The same thing happened during the 2008 crash. It's now in the process of doing the same thing this month. Note that we are slightly above the 61.8% retracement today, but there are still two trading sessions left in the month. This is THE metric I'm watching right now. If stocks break through it and end the month above it, there's a good chance the lows are in and we're going to continue rallying. However, if stocks fail to break above this level and stay there by month's end… the odds greatly increase of another nasty down leg and possible new lows. Best Regards, Graham Summers Editor, Money & Crisis P.S. Recently, Donald Trump quietly signed a bill — H.R. 2881. It's a groundbreaking new law that could save the internet. It could also help make you exceedingly rich once America reopens for business... but not in the way that the title of this new law — the "Secure 5G and Beyond Act" — might lead you to believe. See, most investors are focused on the "5G" part. But it's the "beyond" that could help you make an absolute fortune… With an even better, bigger opportunity — as much as 3x bigger — that my colleague and America's #1 Futurist George Gilder is calling "15G." He plans to lift the veil on one of these new "15G" opportunities this Friday. If you want to be there for the big reveal, you'll need to get the details and be ready no later than midnight tomorrow. Click here now to learn more about this "15G" opportunity. |
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