| Ripple Effect — January 29, 2026
The S&P 500 topped 7,000 for the first time yesterday, adding to its stack of all-time highs this year and continuing the trend set in 2025.
But… those highs are measured in dollars. When priced in gold, which topped $5,500 — also a historic number— this morning, stocks are actually at a 12-year low: Measured in the purchasing power of gold, stocks are at a 12-year low. (Source: Bloomberg) The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at the FOMC meeting yesterday. Jerome Powell explaining the board felt like inflation is in check, but still higher than they’d like. But their interest rate lever has little effect on the dollar’s value against other currencies globally.
Early in 2026, investors are getting a hard look at what stocks, the dollar and precious metals are really “worth”.
At currents our forecast for gold to eventually top $20,000 is still on trend, too. If you’d like to check our premise… and math… we released our initial findings just over a year ago. ~ Addison |  Trump has nearly three full years left in office… But a leak from inside the White House just changed everything. According to Ian King, something shocking will take place in the White House as soon as February 24th… Something so sweeping and so radical, it may completely reinvent America as we know it. The full story is being updated here… | P.S. Later today on Grey Swan Live! at 2 p.m. ET we’ll take a look at another global asset that appreciates well when the dollar gets whacked.
The intrepid Ronan McMahon of Real Estate Trend Alert will help us dig in show us how owning property – particularly bought in foreign locales – can avoid much of the volatility of traditional assets in the U.S. And, done properly, can be a great source of income.
Ronan’s going to treat us to real estate deals he’s got cooking in Mexico, Panama and Paraguay… it’s going to be a welcome tropical topic after this week’s bout with winter weather in North America. Ronan’s also been scouting property in Venezuela – yes, Venezuela – following Trump’s abrupt capture of Nicolas Maduro to kick off the new year. We haven’t spoken to him yet about this property, but we’ve heard he found beachfront condos for $15,000. Not everyone’s cup of tea, for sure. But if you’re into crisis investing… well, we’ll find out what deals Ronan has found.
And on Friday, for paid-up annual Fraternity members, we’ll have a special session reviewing our model portfolio with Andrew Packer. As always, we’ll go over the charts on all our model portfolio positions and what we expect amid the unfolding chaos of 2026. If you have requests for new guests you’d like to see join us for Grey Swan Live!, or have any questions for our guests, send them here. How did we get here? Find out in these riveting reads: Demise of the Dollar, Financial Reckoning Day, and Empire of Debt — all three books are now available in their third post-pandemic editions. You might enjoy one or all three.  (Or… simply pre-order Empire of Debt: We Came, We Saw, We Borrowed, now available at Amazon and Barnes & Noble or if you prefer one of these sites: Bookshop.org, Books-A-Million or Target.)
Please send your comments, reactions, opprobrium, vitriol and praise to: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com |
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