The expansion of the gaming sector presents opportunities for investors who seek companies with strong user growth, solid financials, and... ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ |
| Written by Jeffrey Neal Johnson The gaming industry is experiencing explosive growth, fueled by rapid technological advancements and soaring consumer demand. Valued at $220 billion in 2024, the gaming sector is projected to reach $260 billion by 2026. While industry titans like Sony (NYSE: SONY) and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) often dominate the headlines, investors are increasingly turning their attention to a different breed of companies poised to capitalize on this unprecedented expansion. The Gaming Industry's Explosive Growth Several key factors underpin the gaming industry's current growth trajectory. The current market size of $220 billion in 2024, with projections indicating a surge to $260 billion by 2026, highlights the sector's strong financial health and vast potential. This consistent year-over-year revenue growth underscores gaming's increasing global penetration. Technological advancements are playing a pivotal role in shaping the industry's future. Virtual reality (VR) and augmented reality (AR) technologies are creating more immersive and engaging gaming experiences. Cloud gaming is breaking down barriers, making high-quality games accessible on a variety of devices without the need for expensive hardware. Mobile gaming, in particular, has seen explosive growth, especially in regions with high smartphone penetration, thereby expanding the market even further. Consumer demand is also evolving, with changing demographics broadening the gaming audience beyond the traditional young male demographic. The rise of esports has added another layer of excitement and revenue generation, attracting significant viewership and sponsorship deals. Moreover, the increasingly social aspect of gaming, with multiplayer online games and streaming platforms, is driving higher engagement and fostering vibrant communities. Roblox Corporation - A Platform for User-Generated Growth Roblox Corporation (NYSE: RBLX) was established in 2004. Since then, it has carved out a unique niche in the gaming world as a user-generated content platform. Unlike traditional gaming companies that develop and publish their titles, Roblox empowers its users to create, share, and monetize their games and experiences. This innovative business model has fostered a vibrant ecosystem of creators and players, driving significant growth for the company. Roblox's user growth metrics are particularly impressive. The platform has witnessed a 30% year-over-year increase in monthly active users, highlighting its broad appeal, especially among younger demographics. This expanding user base is a testament to Roblox's engaging content and its success in tapping into new markets globally. The platform's engagement metrics further underscore its popularity, with users spending billions of hours exploring and interacting with the diverse array of user-created games. Roblox's financials have demonstrated strong revenue growth. The company reported a 40% increase in annual revenue, and Q3 2024 results revealed a 9.5% year-over-year revenue increase, amounting to $919 million. Despite reporting an EPS of -$0.37 for the quarter, Roblox managed to beat consensus estimates by $0.02. While the company reported a net loss of $239.3 million for Q3 2024 and has a negative net margin, these figures must be viewed within the context of its rapid growth and substantial investments in platform development. Roblox’s analyst community currently has a consensus rating of Moderate Buy and an average price target of $55.67. Recent actions by multiple analysts further highlight the stock's potential. For instance, HSBC (NYSE: HSBC) initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $63.00 price target on December 12, 2024. This initial coverage, plus multiple positive price target adjustments, reflects confidence in Roblox's growth trajectory. NetEase Inc. - A Mobile Gaming Powerhouse NetEase Inc. (NASDAQ: NTES) has emerged as a dominant force in the Chinese internet technology sector. The company's diverse portfolio spans online gaming, music streaming through NetEase Cloud Music, online education via Youdao, and e-commerce with its Yanxuan brand. With a current market capitalization of $59.28 billion, NetEase has firmly established itself as a major player in the global tech arena. NetEase's strength lies in its commanding presence in the mobile gaming market, particularly within China. The company has successfully expanded its footprint into the PC gaming sector, with titles like Marvel Rivals gaining significant traction. The renewed partnership with Blizzard Entertainment is expected to bolster NetEase's gaming portfolio further, providing access to a vast library of popular titles and a dedicated player base. NetEase's earnings report for the third quarter of fiscal year 2024 (Q3 FY2024) demonstrated its strong market position, with net revenues of RMB 26.2 billion (US $3.7 billion) and net income attributable to shareholders of RMB 6.5 billion (US $931.7 million). The company's financial health is further evidenced by its substantial cash reserves, which were approximately $17 billion, and its commitment to shareholder value through a 1.89% dividend yield and an active share repurchase program. NetEase’s analyst community consensus rating is Moderate Buy, with an average price target of $107.29. Recent actions by analysts have included upwardly adjusting stock price targets to as high as $126.00. These adjustments reflect the dynamic nature of the market and its ongoing evaluation of NetEase's performance. A Powerful Future The gaming industry's remarkable growth is creating a wealth of investment opportunities that extend far beyond the well-known giants of the sector. Roblox Corporation and NetEase Inc. represent two compelling examples of companies that are capitalizing on this expansion, each leveraging unique strengths and strategic initiatives to drive growth. Roblox's innovative user-generated content platform and expanding global reach position it as a formidable player in the industry. NetEase, with its dominance in the mobile gaming market, strong financial health, and diversified portfolio, offers a compelling investment case, particularly for those seeking exposure to the Chinese market. Read This Story Online | $2 trillion has disappeared from the US government's books.
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Written by Nathan Reiff 2025 is likely to bring a host of unknown variables into play for investors, including ongoing geopolitical controversies around the world and a rush of new policies and priorities from the U.S. government under the second administration of Donald Trump. On the one hand, defensive plays may appeal to investors cautious about the potential impacts on the markets of escalating turmoil in the Middle East, an isolationist approach to U.S. economic development, and much more. For those with a higher appetite for risk, though, the broad uncertainty of the investment landscape in 2025 could provide the potential for big plays and, potentially, equally sized rewards. In this environment, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) with a specialized niche focus can allow investors to target a particular part of the market with precision. Keep in mind, though, that these funds tend to be higher in risk than most other ETFs, even in periods of relative stability in the market. Super-Charged Exposure to the Market With Built-In Downside Protection The Direxion HCM Tactical Enhanced U.S. ETF (NYSEARCA: HCMT) is an actively managed fund-of-funds that employs an unusual approach: HCMT either invests in a leveraged U.S. equities position of up to 200% of net assets or takes a non-leveraged, all-cash or cash equivalent approach. The determination is made according to an investment model by subadvisor Howard Capital Management that attempts to gauge which of the two approaches may be more advantageous. HCMT may toggle between these two modalities as often as every day. This fund puts an unusual spin on the approach leveraged ETFs often take, which might be described as "all-in all the time." Typical 2x or 3x leveraged funds pick an investment approach and stick to it—investors usually trade in or out of the fund on a daily basis to avoid skewing long-term performance as the fund resets. With HCMT, investors have a fund that can take a highly aggressive leveraged approach or a passive, defensive strategy, depending on the market. This may make investors more likely to park assets here for longer than they would for other leveraged funds, although compounding risks may still remain. However, the fund's approach to managing downside risk is helpful—particularly given that most leveraged funds offer no protection at all. Ethereum Focus, With Risk Management Like HCMT, the Bitwise Ethereum Strategy ETF (NYSEARCA: AETH) is designed to fluctuate between a higher-risk, more aggressive investment strategy and a much lower-risk, more stable one, depending upon the state of the market. While HCMT targets equities and takes a broad approach to consider the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ-100, AETH looks to the cryptocurrency space and, more specifically, to Ethereum. Though ether is not nearly as ubiquitous as Bitcoin tokens, the Ethereum network remains the favorite among crypto developers looking to launch applications, NFTs, or tokens utilizing smart contracts. This makes Ethereum a likely hub of activity any time major developments in the cryptocurrency space occur. AETH invests entirely in CME Ether Futures during periods of market growth. It then shifts to a conservative U.S. Treasuries-based approach during downturns or periods of volatility. Similar to HCMT, this rotating strategy means that AETH attempts to take a highly risky, speculative environment and offer some protection against downside risk. Like many other crypto-based ETFs, AETH does not invest in ether directly—for some, the less direct option of exposure through futures provides an appealing bit of distance from the volatile spot market. AETH has low assets under management, with under $11 million as of December 26, 2024. Still, the defensive option should appeal to buy-and-hold investors who are less concerned with daily trading liquidity. Capitalize on a Booming Economy The MicroSectors Travel 3x Leveraged ETN (NYSEARCA: FLYU) provides investors with an interesting way to make a bullish bet during a strong economy. The fund aims for 3x daily exposure to an index of stocks involved in the travel industry. Because consumers are likely to increase their non-business travel expenses when the economy is doing well, this fund gives investors a targeted way to capitalize on periods in which customers have more cash in their pockets. FLYU investors do end up paying for the leveraged exposure, as the fund has an expense ratio of 0.95%. It also has a very small asset base and trading volumes as of late December 2024, which may pose a problem for investors keen to rotate in and out of a FLYU position daily to align with the exposure resets. Read This Story Online | |
Written by Nathan Reiff The Federal Open Market Committee closed 2024 with its third consecutive reduction to the overnight borrowing rate, while Chair Jerome Powell suggested the pace of rate cuts is likely to slow in the coming year or more. Though the Fed lowered rates multiple times in recent months amid strong economic growth and easing inflation, there is broad uncertainty about how these two metrics will shift into the new year. Inflation has turned out to be especially stubborn, lingering above the Fed's 2% goal—the body recently increased its 2024 core inflation expectation to 2.8%. Complicating matters, the incoming Trump administration advocated for a number of policies that may be inflationary, including wide-ranging tariffs and mass deportations. For investors looking to set up their portfolios for the new year, this environment becomes a tricky one to navigate. Investors taking a more cautious approach might want to position their investments to hedge against inflation. Fortunately, there are a number of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that can serve as good bets in the face of an inflationary environment. These funds are easy to access, require little oversight on the part of the investor, and explore a variety of different asset classes and sources. Broad TIPS Exposure to Combat Inflation Treasury inflation-protected securities, or TIPS, are Treasury bonds indexed to inflation such that their par value will increase during inflationary periods. This makes TIPS one of the most popular government-issued securities among investors concerned about inflation. While it is certainly possible to hedge against inflation by purchasing TIPS directly, the iShares TIPS Bond ETF (NYSEARCA: TIP) goes a step further to make accessing these bonds even easier. The fund provides investors with exposure to a broad array of TIPS with many different terms for a modest fee of just 0.19%. TIP is a low-risk fund, given that all of its holdings are Treasury bonds backed by the U.S. government, and as such also tends to have a modest return. While there are several other TIPS-focused ETFs available, investors often favor TIP because it has the largest asset base and the highest and most consistent liquidity of any of these funds. Still, it's worth keeping in mind that TIP is not a guaranteed protection against inflation—investors should keep an eye on interest rates while investing in this fund as well. Oil as a Protective Measure Commodities have historically been a strong hedge against inflation. According to Goldman Sachs, a 1% surprise increase in inflation in the United States has led to a boost of 7% to real returns for commodities as a broad category. Among commodities, oil can be a particularly advantageous way of protecting against the risk of inflation because energy products typically respond to both supply and demand shocks, while some other commodities tend to do better in one or the other of these cases. The United States Oil Fund (NYSEARCA: USO) is a good balance of value and liquidity among oil ETFs. This fund has an expense ratio of 0.60% and assets under management of $1.1 billion as of December 26, 2024. While it's not the largest nor the most liquid energy commodity fund, it is topped on both fronts by the United States Natural Gas Fund (NYSEARCA: UNG), and it is more affordable than some of its rivals (UNG included). Investors in USO should be aware that volatility in oil prices often exposes holders of this fund to contango, which can be an issue for long-term fund investors. Take a Chance on the CLO Space Collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) are securities comprising tranches of high-risk debt, such as leveraged loans issued to companies seen as a default risk for one reason or another. These securities are attractive to investors who are cautious about inflation because they are often based on a floating rate yield. However, the level of risk to the investor is considerably higher than many are willing to take on. The Invesco Senior Loan ETF (NYSEARCA: BKLN) is one of the most popular ways to access the CLO space via ETF. By providing a broad portfolio of loans within a single ETF, BKLN may help to mitigate the risk associated with default. Still, BKLN is not advisable for investors unfamiliar with this high-risk space. Read This Story Online | |
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