Winter Weather Is Boosting This Corner of the Market
Last month, Winter Storm Fern pushed its way across the country... Much of the U.S. found itself in a "state of emergency" as snow and frigid temperatures set in. Even states in the Deep South suffered disruptions from the storm.
Winter Weather Is Boosting This Corner of the Market
By Vic Lederman, publisher, Chaikin Analytics
Last month, Winter Storm Fern pushed its way across the country...
Much of the U.S. found itself in a "state of emergency" as snow and frigid temperatures set in. Even states in the Deep South suffered disruptions from the storm.
In fact, temperatures in my corner of northeast Florida dipped below freezing for a few days.
That led to a rare sighting in my area – an icicle...
Of course, severe cold temperatures can be deadly for anyone without adequate heating. More than 100 people died of storm-related injuries during the severe weather – including hypothermia...
This is an unfortunate reality for many Americans today. And rising energy costs won't help the situation...
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U.S. Demand for Electricity Keeps Growing
High demand during Winter Storm Fern drove the spot price of natural gas to more than $7 per million British thermal units ("MMBtu"). That marked the highest level in the past 12 months.
Now, this price spike lasted less than two weeks. And it's now back down to roughly where it sat for most of 2025 – around $3 per MMBtu.
You can see this action in the chart below...
Many regular folks use natural gas in their homes for heating, cooking, or powering a generator. This resource is a big deal for keeping the lights on...
Put simply, more than 40% of America's electricity generation comes from natural gas. It's the biggest piece of the entire electrical-generation picture in the U.S.
This source has seen huge growth, too...
In fact, the U.S. gets more than triple the amount of electricity from natural gas today than it did in 2000. Take a look...
Just last month, the U.S. Energy Information Administration predicted electricity use will grow by about 1% in 2026.
That seems like a small amount...
But it represents growth of about 60 terawatt hours of electricity.
To put that in perspective, America's electric-power consumption per capita is about 0.0000125 terawatt hours.
Five years ago, that electricity usage would have cost you roughly $1,700 for the year, before accounting for inflation.
Today, that figure comes in at about $2,400.
But as you may have guessed, these trends are boosting a few industries...
The Power Gauge's Positive Outlook on These Two ETFs
As I said earlier, the U.S. generates more than 40% of its electricity from natural gas.
So it makes sense that oil and gas stocks would benefit from growing electricity demand.
In the Power Gauge, we can measure these stocks through two exchange-traded funds ("ETFs")...
I'm talking about the State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Fund (XES) and the State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Fund (XOP).
Right now, both ETFs get "very bullish" ratings from the Power Gauge. And when it comes to their individual holdings, only one stock is rated as "bearish" between the two of them.
XES has seen massive growth over the past three months. It's up about 42% during this span.
XOP has posted gains of about 14% over the same time frame. But even that return beats the S&P 500 Index's gain of roughly 2% during the past three months.
Again, the Power Gauge gives both XES and XOP a "very bullish" rating. So our system sees more upside from here for stocks in the oil and gas space.
Meanwhile, try to keep warm as we get closer to the end of winter.
Good investing,
Vic Lederman
Market View
Major Indexes and Notable Sectors
# Hld: Bullish Neutral Bearish
Dow 30
-1.63%
6
20
4
S&P 500
-1.02%
120
286
92
Nasdaq
-1.22%
23
50
27
Small Caps
-1.56%
556
975
356
Bonds
+0.37%
Consumer Staples
+1.23%
4
29
3
— According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Small Cap stocks and Large Cap stocks are somewhat Bullish. Major indexes are mixed.
* * * *
Sector Tracker
Sector movement over the last 5 days
Energy
+1.47%
Communication
+0.68%
Health Care
+0.55%
Utilities
+0.39%
Industrials
+0.38%
Real Estate
+0.25%
Consumer Staples
-0.6%
Materials
-0.66%
Information Technology
-0.75%
Consumer Discretionary
-1.02%
Financial
-1.78%
* * * *
Industry Focus
Insurance Services
10
28
16
Over the past 6 months, the Insurance subsector (KIE) has underperformed the S&P 500 by -10.18%. Its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Weak, with more Bearish than Bullish stocks. It is currently ranked #15 of 21 subsectors.
Indicative Stocks
AGO
Assured Guaranty Ltd
AJG
Arthur J. Gallagher
BHF
Brighthouse Financia
* * * *
Top Movers
Gainers
PYPL
+5.76%
ALB
+5.4%
AKAM
+4.86%
LLY
+4.86%
GLW
+4.11%
Losers
IBM
-13.15%
DDOG
-11.28%
CRWD
-9.85%
ZBRA
-9.43%
APP
-9.09%
* * * *
Earnings Report
Earnings Surprises
KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
Q4
$0.18
Beat by $0.03
FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc.
Q4
$1.74
Missed by $-0.26
KEYS Keysight Technologies, Inc.
Q1
$2.17
Beat by $0.17
OKE ONEOK, Inc.
Q4
$1.55
Beat by $0.06
D Dominion Energy, Inc.
Q4
$0.68
Beat by $0.01
* * * *
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