Jumat, 20 Juni 2025

How to Piggyback Congressional Trades

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AN OXFORD CLUB PUBLICATION

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EDITOR'S NOTE

The headlines don't lie: Congress is outpacing Wall Street.

While most Americans struggle to beat inflation, government officials are stacking up gains of 123%… 142%… even 149% in a single year.

How? By leveraging the same unfair information edge they've used for more than 200 years.

You can't stop them. But you can finally start profiting alongside them.

Alexander Green reveals how he tracks their trades - and more importantly, how to use those moves to identify explosive opportunities in the stock market.

If you've ever wondered how government insiders always seem to be one step ahead… you're about to find out. 👉 Watch the urgent briefing here.

- Nicole Labra, Senior Managing Editor

THE SHORTEST WAY TO A RICH LIFE

How to Piggyback Congressional Trades... For Maximum Fun and Profit

Alexander Green, Chief Investment Strategist, The Oxford Club

Alexander Green

If you're a corporate officer or director, the penalties are stiff if you get caught trading on material, non-public information.

You must disgorge any profits. You may be sentenced to up to 20 years per violation. You can be fined up to $25 million.

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) can impose additional fines of up to three times the amount of profit gained, or loss avoided.

(Generally referred to as "treble damages.")

And you could be barred from serving as an officer or director of a public company.

That's why The Wall Street Journal reported this week that, "Unless you're a member of Congress, insider trading is a risky way to try to beat the market."

So, why isn't it risky if you're an elected representative?

Because - believe it or not - it's not illegal for members of Congress to trade on material, non-public information that moves individual stocks, whole sectors, or even the entire market.

Yep... lawmakers not only make the rules. They make sure they don't apply to them personally.

It helps explain why Gallup routinely finds Congress's public approval rating to be around 20%.

(And just what planet do those 20% live on, anyway?)

Not surprisingly, many lawmakers routinely outperform the market with their individual stock trades.

In 2024, for example, the S&P 500 turned in a stellar 24.7% gain.

Yet more than 20 members of Congress nearly doubled that return - and in some cases, tripled it.

While ordinary investors must fend for themselves, lawmakers - who sit on committees that are set to approve or deny legislation - continue to trade individual stocks with astonishing timing and success.

Quiver Quantitative, a fintech startup founded in 2020, aggregates data into dashboards that track government contracts, corporate lobbying, and stock trading - among other topics.

Data from the platform shows that last year, the five most active traders in Congress were:

  • Rep. Josh Gottheimer, D-N.J., with 526 trades and $91,050,000 in volume.
  • Rep. Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., with 17 trades and $37,750,000 in volume.
  • Rep. Scott Franklin, R-Fla., with 69 trades and $5,993,000 in volume.
  • Sen. Tommy Tuberville, R-Ala., with 202 trades and $5,531,500 in volume.
  • Sen. Markwayne Mullin, R-Okla., with 71 trades and $4,407,000 in volume.

There's an old Wall Street maxim: "Follow the money."

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But in today's world of political influence and regulatory power, a more accurate version might be: "Follow the lawmakers' money."

Members of Congress are often highly-active participants in the stock market.

And while you might expect strong guardrails against potential conflicts of interest, the reality is quite different.

Despite the 2012 STOCK Act (Stop Trading on Congressional Knowledge) - which was supposed to increase transparency and prevent insider trading - congressional trading remains widespread... but importantly, it's now publicly disclosed.

That opens the door for savvy investors to monitor and even piggyback off these trades.

Under current law, members of Congress are required to report most securities transactions over $1,000 within 45 days.

These are filed as periodic transaction reports (PTRs), and the data is publicly available via the U.S. House of Representatives and Senate websites.

Several third-party platforms aggregate and simplify this data, making it even easier to track.

These sites allow me to view transactions by date, size, and asset type - and many provide charts and trend lines showing which stocks are most commonly bought or sold.

Not all members of Congress wield equal influence.

If you're watching for trades that might be based on privileged knowledge - or likely to benefit from upcoming policy changes - you want to follow the money coming from members who sit on powerful committees.

Especially:

  • Energy and Commerce: Watch for trades involving oil, renewables, biotech, and Big Tech.
  • Armed Services: Think defense contractors and aerospace.
  • Financial Services: Banks, insurers, fintech.
  • Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions (HELP): Pharmaceuticals and healthcare providers.

If a senator on the Energy Committee suddenly loads up on solar stocks - and then, days later, a subsidy-packed green energy bill hits the floor - you can connect the dots.

Or - as happened this week - Congress might choose to end tax credits for solar panels, sending the whole sector sharply lower.

A few names pop up frequently in these disclosures - and not by accident.

Senators like Tommy Tuberville (R-AL), and Representatives like Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) and her husband Paul Pelosi, have made headlines for well-timed trades.

However, that hasn't stopped them from trading actively.

Fortunately, it's possible to track and mimic Congressional trades, often with strong results.

Of course, not all congressional trades are meaningful. But here are some markers worth watching:

  1. Single-stock purchases, especially in volatile sectors.
  2. Options trades, particularly when they involve leverage or short timeframes.
  3. Clusters of activity, where multiple members buy the same stock within days.

For example, when several lawmakers bought shares in Nvidia in late 2022 - just before a surge in AI-related interest - it was a useful signal that something was brewing.

However, blindly copying trades can lead to poor decisions if you don't understand the underlying business, valuation, or macroeconomic context.

Just because a congressman bought a stock doesn't mean it's undervalued - or even a good company.

In my Insider Alert trading service, I approach these trades as valuable informational signals, not gospel.

When a high-ranking lawmaker buys into a sector that aligns with upcoming legislation - or sells a position ahead of committee debate - that's my cue to investigate further.

Bottom line? The ability to track and analyze congressional trades is one of the most underappreciated tools in an investor's arsenal.

These trades often reflect privileged perspectives on regulatory trends, budget allocations, and political momentum.

If you're careful and selective - focusing on high-quality companies, filtering out noise, and doing your due diligence - you can use this information to gain a genuine edge.

And in a market where an information advantage is everything, following the people who write the rules is just smart investing.

Good investing,

Alex

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