(New Video From Don)
| | Don Kaufman here. | The marketplace feels invincible... right up until you see wild sellside activity like we just had. | I've been saying all day long that nobody wants to go home long the market this weekend. | Look, forget the geopolitical stuff for a minute. | What's intimidating me right now is where we are in the volatility box. We broke the upside Wednesday, I said we'd probably trade back to 6011 on the SPX, and boom - where were we trading the next morning? 6011. | | | | Now we've dropped back into the box and there's nothing to latch onto between here and 5900. It's a veritable air pocket where you just drop fast. | But here's what really got me today - and I'm pretty shocked because I trade volatility futures extensively: | • The volatility futures compression from $1.50 to just 30 cents - that's shocking | • Why oil margin changes tonight could blow out positions both ways | • The bond tell during a fear trade that changes everything about market structure | The VIX traded over 1.1 million contracts today - mostly calls. That's how you reduce risk, and it's telling me that big money is intimidated. | The VVIX is through the roof - that's duck and cover activity. | And bonds? This is the opinion piece - in the midst of a fear trade, we're not seeing the usual rotation into treasuries. That's a huge tell, okay? Our bond problems are not going away. | Financials got absolutely decimated today. Regional banks holding boatloads of bonds, and if you bought bonds anytime since 2010, you're probably down. | Next week: Triple witching with a $130 expected move in just four trading days. | Expect us to threaten 5850 at some point next week, and it's getting real out there. | GET THE FULL ANALYSIS | To your success, | Don Kaufman | | | PROFIT FROM SQUEEZE BAR ERUPTIONS | | | | +222% on PLUG... +100% on SLV... +72% on IYR
(Plus 15 other explosive recent winners using this exact method) | PRO TRADERS REVEAL: How to spot the pressure building BEFORE prices explode. | LIVE TRAINING: Wednesday June 18th with Don Kaufman & Brandon Chapman, CMT | → SAVE YOUR SEAT BEFORE IT FILLS UP ← | | | |
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