I'll be live at TheoLive in 15 minutes... be there.
| | Good morning: | S&P 500 Futures continue to rise thanks to strong capital flows back into U.S. stocks. Markets are still pushing higher, aided by the non-QE support we saw last week, a dip in bond prices, and optimism over U.S. trade. | Again, we told you live on air that momentum had returned to the market… on April 23 and showcased the strong insider buying that helped aid a major policy shift in trade on April 10. | | So… what do investors do now? | First, remember the pattern we've discussed repeatedly to identify bottoms and a return of capital to the market… | Second, be ready to trade on Third Friday (today)… | It's a key day of options expiration… all while markets prepare for a vote on a massive tax bill that would juice corporate balance sheets and drastically expand U.S. trade deficits (remember… that creates a unique situation for investors). | I'll talk about the big macro stories… the headlines and more… in our live show. | Here's what you need to know… | Tune In, Tune Up | Our momentum signal turned positive for the S&P 500 on April 23, aided by big rallies in Tesla (TSLA) and other big tech stocks. A few weeks later, the market is pushing back toward all-time highs… | Remember—markets are driven by capital, and according to CrossBorder Capital's measurements, we're seeing record levels of it sloshing around. | This is good for risk assets. | Now, we're entering a period of questions. I want to walk you through our simple reading on momentum this morning… and show you the names we will target on the short side when the S&P 500 has its next breakdown… (and what that will look like). | | Who's Breaking Out? Who's Breaking Down? | It's a really important time to watch smaller-cap stocks with high liquidity. These are the names that will be active using VOLUME WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICE. | or VWAP… | This is a terrific day to trade VWAP… especially on small-cap breakout names. I'll show you exactly how to set up VWAP on your screens… show you the small-cap stocks to trade today… and give you a few ideas on options trades in higher-volume stocks. | A Look Ahead to Next Week | Next week, we're focusing on insiders—but not just any insiders… We're tapping into massive investors with more than $100 million in assets and showing you exactly what they're buying and selling. Most people have no idea what to do with insider buying and 13D or 13F filings. | But I've got all the academic data to back up the trades, and I'll show you a preview of what you can expect when we're trading live next week. | Plus, you'll get a VERY special offer to join us for a month. No questions asked. | I want you to see the power of these strategies and how they can enhance any stock or options portfolio. | All right … I'll see everyone at 8:45 ET. Get in the room with me… | Or be left behind on this great trading day. | Stay positive. | Garrett Baldwin |
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