Time to Let the Bond Vigilantes Feast?
| | Good morning everyone: | Well… I warned everyone. And I'll keep doing it. This morning, the Dow is coming off fresh recent highs while the price of gold has jumped BACK above $3,300. | All the while, the 10-year U.S. bond has pushed above 4.53%. This is a very tricky market, as problems continue to persist in Japan and questions now arise around how the United States and other nations plan to refinance existing debt at higher rates. | This is the time that the so-called Bond Vigilantes may feast… What are bond vigilantes… and how much higher could U.S. interest rates go? We'll discuss this and more during our LIVE SHOW TheoLive: Market Masters at 8:45 ET. | What else is on tap? | Momentum Warning | I said yesterday that our Buying Pressure in the S&P 500 hit zero yesterday. There was a reason for this: Healthcare stocks found some life after a massive selloff over the last few months. Combine that with lots of recent speculation around Zombie Stocks like Virgin Galactic (SPCE), and you're rip for a short-term top. | This morning, we again have no stocks in our breakdown mode - just a few stragglers that have sold off in lower performance. The key issue remains the same. Too much upward momentum - too quickly. It looks like the end of any related short squeeze is coming to a close… So… | Now What? | Questions starting to emerge - the narrative shift that I predicted in the media will start to emerge. This is a pretty predictable ballet when you've seen it enough times and you have the data to back up the patterns. | The most important question is: Now what? It's important to not only understand the short-term focus - but also the long-term. There still remains ample liquidity in the system and money on the sidelines. So, another move higher in the coming weeks and months is still on the table. Gianni Di Poce will join us at 9 am to discuss what big trends he sees lurking in the markets. | What are Insiders Doing? | Finally, we continue Whale Week. Over the last two days, we've laid out big opportunities in the hedge fund space. We tackled the easiest ways to track 13Fs, a quarterly report outlining the biggest purchases by funds like Bridgewater Capital. | Now, we turn our attention to the Corporate Insiders - with 13Ds and Form 4 documents. This morning, we'll give you a preview by diving into the most recent purchases and sales at the Form 4 level - and show you where to track 13Ds. | We'll be live in 15 minutes. | Join us… this show has no fluff… no flashy graphics… and no advertising. It's just about real insight dedicated to today's stock and options markets. | See you soon, | Garrett Baldwin |
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