Rabu, 28 Mei 2025

Is This 12% Yield Safe?

Shield

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Can This 12% Yielder Salvage its Dividend Safety Rating?

Marc Lichtenfeld, Chief Income Strategist, The Oxford Club

Marc Lichtenfeld

You may not have heard of Saratoga Investment Corp (NYSE: SAR), a small cap business development company (BDC), but its shareholders undoubtedly love its 12% yield.

But will that 12% yield stick around long enough to put the company on more investors' radar?

The New York-based BDC lends money to businesses that aren't able to get bank loans. It lends to businesses in a variety of sectors including healthcare, technology, consumer services, and more.

Because it's a BDC, the measure of cash flow that we use is net interest income, or NII.

Its latest fiscal year, which ended in February, saw a slight setback when NII declined 7%. That was after several years of strong growth.

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In the current fiscal year, NII is forecast to grow 19%. Even though that's a positive, the Safety Net Model is a stern taskmaster and doesn't stand for disappointment. The decline in the last fiscal year costs Saratoga a one-grade penalty.

Chart: Saratoga Investment Corp. Net Interest Income
View larger image
 

In the last fiscal year, Saratoga paid shareholders $40.7 million in dividends for a payout ratio of 77%. This fiscal year, the payout ratio is forecast to dip to 74%. BDCs are only penalized on payout ratios above 100%. So Saratoga's payout ratio is healthy.

Its dividend history is decent. The only hiccup was in 2020, during the pandemic, when it reduced the dividend from $0.56 to $0.40. Other than that, not including special dividends, the BDC has raised the payout every year.

So far, Saratoga's dividend safety looks like a toss up.

Is its healthy payout ratio and dividend history enough to cancel out the dip in NII for fiscal year 2025?

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