Good Leadership Sent This Stock Soaring... But It Wouldn't Last
By the end of 2021, John Riccitiello was on top of the world... But it wouldn't last long.
Good Leadership Sent This Stock Soaring... But It Wouldn't Last
By Marc Chaikin, founder, Chaikin Analytics
By the end of 2021, John Riccitiello was on top of the world...
But it wouldn't last long.
He was the CEO of Unity Software (U). Thanks to its popular game-development engine, Unity was one of the most popular names in the video-game space.
A year earlier, Riccitiello had taken Unity public. The company's stock nearly tripled in just 14 months.
Unity's revenue was growing by more than 40% a year. And it had just announced plans to acquire Weta Digital – the visual effects company behind The Lord of the Rings and Game of Thrones.
Unity's business was booming.
And it was paying off big for Riccitiello...
He owned 3.5 million shares of Unity's stock worth roughly $700 million. Alongside his previous wealth, he was the video-game industry's newest billionaire.
Riccitiello had also recently paid more than $32 million for a mansion in Montecito, California. It sprawled across 18,000 square feet and had 12 bathrooms.
The success was a redemption story for Riccitiello. But it ultimately faded...
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Unity's Big Rise
Eight years earlier, Riccitiello had been pushed out as CEO of video-game giant Electronic Arts (EA).
Back then, EA struggled with the transition to digital distribution. Its revenue had flatlined during Riccitiello's six-year tenure. And some of the company's newest games suffered from technical glitches.
Riccitiello took the blame for EA's poor performance.
A lot of folks in the video-game space were glad to see him go...
As you can imagine, the industry is full of smart programmers. To them, Riccitiello was a glorified salesman.
Riccitiello didn't have any tech skills. He was a "corporate type" who spent his early years at consumer-products giant Clorox (CLX), snack-and-beverage titan PepsiCo (PEP), and ice-cream maker Häagen-Dazs. In the 1990s, he worked at sports-equipment manufacturer Wilson Sporting Goods and dessert company Sara Lee.
Riccitiello didn't grow EA's business. But he was good at squeezing profits out of its games...
You see, Riccitiello saw the power of "microtransactions." These are small fees for things that can enhance play in a video game, such as more powerful weapons or different clothes.
Most gamers hate microtransactions. But plenty of them still pay up for a better gaming experience. And these fees generated massive profits for EA.
Of course, that ultimately didn't save his job. But Unity's success helped Riccitiello forget about his failure at EA.
Even better, his new company had massive room for growth...
Unity had the industry's most popular gaming "engine." That's the software used to create and run video games. Thousands of companies gladly paid to use this technology. It simplified the process of making a game that works on consoles, mobile devices, and PCs.
Under Riccitiello's leadership, Unity grew beyond its core engine business. This second unit focused on adding advertising and other "monetization" features to games.
Unity's ad business was a huge growth driver for the company...
Sales grew by more than 50% in 2020 and 2021. Its auction-based service allowed game makers to get the highest price for ad placement. Even better, this service gave Unity the potential to eventually expand beyond the video-game market.
Put it all together, and it makes sense that the stock posted such a great run after the company went public. Take a look at the move higher up to the November 2021 peak...
Unity was one of the most promising stocks on the market.
But a series of bad decisions would see that unravel. In short, Riccitiello's leadership took a turn for the worse.
And now, the stock is down a staggering 89% from its 2021 high.
— According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Large Cap stocks are more Bearish than Small Cap stocks. Major indexes are mixed.
* * * *
Sector Tracker
Sector movement over the last 5 days
Consumer Staples
-0.57%
Utilities
-1.36%
Materials
-1.55%
Communication
-1.56%
Industrials
-2.05%
Health Care
-2.07%
Financial
-2.99%
Consumer Discretionary
-3.23%
Real Estate
-3.26%
Information Technology
-3.44%
Energy
-4.08%
* * * *
Industry Focus
Aerospace & Defense Services
20
14
1
Over the past 6 months, the Aerospace & Defense subsector (XAR) has outperformed the S&P 500 by +10.96%. Its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Very Strong, with more Bullish than Bearish stocks. It is currently ranked #1 of 21 subsectors.
Top Stocks
ACHR
Archer Aviation Inc.
DCO
Ducommun Incorporate
ATRO
Astronics Corporatio
* * * *
Top Movers
Gainers
INTU
+8.12%
ENPH
+4.29%
AES
+3.74%
STX
+3.56%
FCX
+3.5%
Losers
DECK
-19.86%
WDAY
-12.52%
CPRT
-11.52%
ROST
-9.85%
LDOS
-3.67%
* * * *
Earnings Report
Earnings Surprises
BKE The Buckle, Inc.
Q1
$0.70
Beat by $0.01
BAH Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation
Q4
$1.61
Met estimate
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