Selasa, 22 Oktober 2024

The Goldman Sachs Effect: Look Out for a “Demand Double”

 
Katusa Research
 
 

**Disseminated on behalf of Uranium Royalty Corp**

The U.S. hasn’t seen a power demand surge since the post-WW2 industrial boom.

And now, the most famous investment bank is taking the driver's seat on Interstate A.I.

Goldman Sachs estimates that by 2030, data center power demand will skyrocket by 160%, turning AI’s progress into a global power challenge.

Imagine every AI query using 10 to 30 times more energy than a standard Google search — because that’s the reality we're hurtling toward. ¹

Data centers are already large consumers of energy, but now, given the size and complexities of these models…

AND the computational demand of generating net new content as an output, data center energy needs are set to grow exponentially.

Including Northern Virginia, where data center energy demand is expected to account for up to 40% of the regional load by 2040. ²
 

The Recipe for Power… and PROFIT


McKinsey estimates the power needs of data centers are expected to grow to about 3x higher than current capacity by the end of the decade.

The end result is data centers going from between 3-4% of total US power demand today to between 11-12% in 2030.

Ushering in the most significant electricity demand surge. EVER³

The IEA forecasts that in the next two years alone…

  • Data center demand could be equivalent to the amount of electricity used by the country of Japan!

Goldman Sachs sees energy demand growing at 2.4%, PER YEAR.

But wait, there’s more

Europe needs over $1 trillion to power up for AI. After 15 years of declining demand, the continent faces a massive grid overhaul to handle the coming energy surge.
 

The Energy Grid is NOT Prepared for This Kind of Load


And if we continue down this path with our current energy sources, we’re not only facing massive shortages but a demand disaster. What’s the solution?

It’s simple. It’s powerful.

It’s Nuclear Energy. And That Means A LOT More Uranium.

Goldman Sachs analysts project that major tech companies will soon be underwriting nuclear power projects to mitigate the carbon footprint of their vast AI operations.

The global demand for uranium—the fuel that powers nuclear reactors—is set to go much higher.

Just last week Amazon made a MAJOR announcement venturing into nuclear energy by cutting a deal with X-Energy for small modular reactors.

We think the best way to play this major trend is through this company:

Uranium Royalty Corp (NASDAQ:UROY)

The Nuclear Power Play You Can’t Miss

As the only pure-play uranium royalty and physical uranium company in the world, Uranium Royalty Corp (UROY:Nasdaq) is perfectly positioned to capitalize on the coming uranium bull market.

It’s one of the top performing uranium companies since its IPO:

Here’s why you need to pay attention:

1. First-Mover Advantage: The Pure-Play Uranium Royalty Pioneer

UROY is the first and only company to apply the successful royalty and streaming model directly to uranium.

This gives it a unique edge in an industry that’s about to explode. While others scramble to get in, URC is already entrenched, positioned to reap the rewards as demand for nuclear energy surges.

2. Exposure to Physical Uranium at Much LOWER Prices

UROY holds physical uranium acquired at cyclical lows, and those assets are already up over 33% in value since acquisition (based on the spot price on September 12, 2024, according to their latest presentation).

As uranium prices continue to rise, UROY is perfectly poised to ride the price surge while sitting on tangible, appreciating assets. UROY has no debt and all their physical uranium is held in secured American facilities.

Source: October 2024 UROY Presentation

3. Royalties on World-Class Projects

UROY holds royalties on some of the world’s largest and highest-grade uranium projects, including Canada’s legendary McArthur River and Cigar Lake mines. These projects aren’t speculative—they’re established, high-quality assets in politically stable, mining-friendly regions.

When these projects ramp up production, UROY collects its share—without any operational risk.

4. Strategic Diversification Across Global Projects

UROY portfolio isn’t just limited to one region. It’s spread across multiple top-tier mining jurisdictions, including the U.S., Canada, and Namibia. This geographic diversification minimizes risk while maximizing exposure to the global uranium boom.

5. Stalwart Leadership

UROY is captained by industry heavyweight Scott Melbye, a veteran with 40 years of experience in uranium.

Melbye has served as an executive at industry giants like Cameco, and his connections and insights into the uranium world give UROY a leadership edge that few can match.

Regards,

The Katusa Research Special Situations Team
_________________________________

¹ Thompson, D., & Incera, M. (2024, October 4). Powering AI – opportunities, tensions in Datacenter and energy markets. S&P Global Market Intelligence. https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/research/powering-ai-opportunities-tensions-in-datacenter-and-energy-markets

² Lenoir, T., & Wilson, A. (2024, June 13). US datacenter and energy outlook – powering the AI economy. S&P Global. https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/research/us-datacenter-and-energy-outlook-powering-the-ai-economy

³ Green, A., Tai, H., Noffsinger, J., & Sachdeva, P. (2024, September 17). How data centers and the Energy Sector Can Sate Ai’s hunger for power. McKinsey & Company. https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/private-capital/our-insights/how-data-centers-and-the-energy-sector-can-sate-ais-hunger-for-power
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